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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Southern Miss

Expected RPI:314.0
Current RPI:314
Expected SOS:267
Current Record:7-20
Expected Record:7-20
Current Conf Record:5-13
Expected Conf Record:5-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-10
Current OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC RPI:300
Expected OOC SOS:250


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern Miss.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Memphis (139.0)AmerA67-49L0%0.0
11-17Jackson St. (221.0)SWACH60-78L0%0.0
11-28Morehead St. (127.0)OVCA61-46L0%0.0
12-1Troy (293.0)SBA69-59L0%0.0
12-4Alabama (73.0)SECH55-58L0%0.0
12-6North Dakota St. (120.0)SumH74-62W100%0.0
12-14South Alabama (240.0)SBA54-57W100%0.0
12-19Georgia St. (180.0)SBH46-66L0%0.0
12-22Tulane (227.0)AmerA59-40L0%0.0
1-2Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAA87-57L0%0.0
1-7Charlotte (234.0)CUSAH76-82L0%0.0
1-9Old Dominion (140.0)CUSAH73-71W100%0.0
1-14Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAA58-51L0%0.0
1-16FIU (270.0)CUSAA60-66W100%0.0
1-23Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAH59-70L0%0.0
1-28UTEP (215.0)CUSAH71-58W100%0.0
1-30UTSA (347.0)CUSAH86-70W100%0.0
2-4North Texas (295.0)CUSAA70-54L0%0.0
2-6Rice (279.0)CUSAA72-65L0%0.0
2-11UAB (88.0)CUSAH77-80L0%0.0
2-13Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAH54-76L0%0.0
2-18UTEP (215.0)CUSAA78-73L0%0.0
2-20UTSA (347.0)CUSAA74-53L0%0.0
2-25Rice (279.0)CUSAH74-76L0%0.0
2-27North Texas (295.0)CUSAH81-70W100%0.0
3-3Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAA75-60L0%0.0
3-5Marshall (128.0)CUSAA108-106L0%0.0