Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Southern Methodist   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Southern Methodist

Conference:CUSA
Expected RPI:208.1
Current RPI:208
Expected SOS:130
Current Record:12-17
Expected Record:12-17
Current Conf Record:7-10
Expected Conf Record:7-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-1
Current OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC RPI:261
Expected OOC SOS:198


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-1741.38%208.1100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern Methodist.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13South Florida (70.5)BEH61-67L0%0.0
11-16Texas A&M (13.7)B12H68-80L0%0.0
11-21Florida Gulf Coast (321.3)ASunH79-62W100%0.0
12-2Texas Christian (188.1)MWCH53-60L0%0.0
12-7Texas St. (242.5)SlndH94-86W100%0.0
12-22Nevada Las Vegas (40.1)MWCN53-67L0%0.0
12-23College of Charleston (91.1)SCN71-72L0%0.0
12-25Northeastern (74.0)CAAN62-73L0%0.0
12-30Army (247.3)PatH71-63W100%0.0
1-2Texas St. (242.5)SlndA86-91L0%0.0
1-6Texas El Paso (32.8)CUSAA45-49L0%0.0
1-9North Carolina Central (347.0)indH78-50W100%0.0
1-13Tulsa (66.5)CUSAH56-63L0%0.0
1-16UAB (45.3)CUSAH62-63L0%0.0
1-20Rice (311.0)CUSAA73-65W100%0.0
1-23Houston Baptist (326.8)GWCH82-68W100%0.0
1-27Central Florida (189.5)CUSAH65-43W100%0.0
1-30Memphis (56.3)CUSAH70-60W100%0.0
2-2Southern Mississippi (112.8)CUSAA53-56L0%0.0
2-6Tulane (281.1)CUSAA66-48W100%0.0
2-10Texas El Paso (32.8)CUSAH51-62L0%0.0
2-13Houston (126.1)CUSAA60-66L0%0.0
2-17Rice (311.0)CUSAH67-57W100%0.0
2-20Memphis (56.3)CUSAA63-76L0%0.0
2-24East Carolina (230.2)CUSAA59-54W100%0.0
2-27Houston (126.1)CUSAH94-83W100%0.0
3-3Tulsa (66.5)CUSAA55-58L0%0.0
3-6Marshall (67.3)CUSAH57-73L0%0.0
3-10Central Florida (189.5)CUSAN53-69L0%0.0