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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Southern Illinois

Expected RPI:138.0
Current RPI:138
Expected SOS:249
Current Record:22-10
Expected Record:22-10
Current Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:14-3
Current OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC RPI:124
Expected OOC SOS:327


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern Illinois.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Air Force (226.0)MWCH77-75W100%0.0
11-15Florida A&M (349.0)MEACH81-51W100%0.0
11-18Kent St. (124.0)MACH72-69W100%0.0
11-21Sam Houston St. (178.0)SlndA81-86W100%0.0
11-24Oakland (116.0)HorzH97-88W100%0.0
11-27UTEP (215.0)CUSAN66-71L0%0.0
11-28Portland (249.0)WCCN79-80W100%0.0
12-2Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCH74-50W100%0.0
12-5North Texas (295.0)CUSAA63-95W100%0.0
12-9SIU Edwardsville (305.0)OVCH74-76L0%0.0
12-12North Texas (295.0)CUSAH74-66W100%0.0
12-18Murray St. (169.0)OVCA73-88W100%0.0
12-21Saint Louis (206.0)A10A52-65W100%0.0
12-30Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCA62-72W100%0.0
1-2Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCH75-73W100%0.0
1-6Bradley (306.0)MVCA44-65W100%0.0
1-9Wichita St. (47.0)MVCH58-83L0%0.0
1-12Illinois St. (114.0)MVCH81-78W100%0.0
1-17Drake (325.0)MVCA76-81W100%0.0
1-20Indiana St. (172.0)MVCH79-66W100%0.0
1-24Missouri St. (235.0)MVCA65-80W100%0.0
1-28Evansville (93.0)MVCH78-85L0%0.0
1-31Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCA67-58L0%0.0
2-3Wichita St. (47.0)MVCA76-55L0%0.0
2-6Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCH59-73L0%0.0
2-10Indiana St. (172.0)MVCA78-85W100%0.0
2-13Drake (325.0)MVCH75-60W100%0.0
2-17Bradley (306.0)MVCH71-59W100%0.0
2-20Evansville (93.0)MVCA83-71L0%0.0
2-24Illinois St. (114.0)MVCA73-50L0%0.0
2-27Missouri St. (235.0)MVCH78-68W100%0.0
3-4Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCN66-60L0%0.0