Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Southern Illinois   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Southern Illinois

Conference:MVC
Expected RPI:170.6
Current RPI:171
Expected SOS:133
Current Record:14-15
Expected Record:14-15
Current Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-0
Current OOC Record:8-2
Expected OOC Record:8-2
Expected OOC RPI:84
Expected OOC SOS:269


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1548.28%170.6100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern Illinois.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Tennessee Martin (338.0)OVCH91-63W100%0.0
11-21Nevada Las Vegas (40.1)MWCA69-78L0%0.0
11-28Illinois Chicago (291.0)HorzH74-64W100%0.0
12-5St. Louis (86.4)A10A61-71L0%0.0
12-9Southeast Missouri St. (312.9)OVCA86-65W100%0.0
12-12Alabama St. (275.4)SWACH82-63W100%0.0
12-19San Diego (230.7)WCCN70-68W100%0.0
12-20San Francisco (206.8)WCCN67-66W100%0.0
12-29Indiana St. (87.5)MVCH70-52W100%0.0
1-1Bradley (104.6)MVCA86-81W100%0.0
1-3Illinois St. (75.7)MVCA61-68L0%0.0
1-6Northern Iowa (18.2)MVCH49-61L0%0.0
1-9Drake (180.1)MVCH65-70L0%0.0
1-13Creighton (114.4)MVCA69-71L0%0.0
1-16Evansville (249.4)MVCA65-57W100%0.0
1-20Bradley (104.6)MVCH55-57L0%0.0
1-23Illinois St. (75.7)MVCH81-80W100%0.0
1-25Western Kentucky (133.5)SBH68-63W100%0.0
1-28Indiana St. (87.5)MVCA65-68L0%0.0
1-31Wichita St. (42.8)MVCH54-55L0%0.0
2-3Missouri St. (90.5)MVCH73-67W100%0.0
2-6Northern Iowa (18.2)MVCA52-55L0%0.0
2-10Missouri St. (90.5)MVCA72-77L0%0.0
2-13Evansville (249.4)MVCH80-64W100%0.0
2-16Drake (180.1)MVCA72-79L0%0.0
2-20Western Michigan (149.7)MACH89-72W100%0.0
2-23Creighton (114.4)MVCH78-83L0%0.0
2-27Wichita St. (42.8)MVCA55-76L0%0.0
3-4Drake (180.1)MVCN61-63L0%0.0