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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Southern California

Conference:P12
Expected RPI:270.0
Current RPI:270
Expected SOS:90
Current Record:6-26
Expected Record:6-26
Current Conf Record:1-18
Expected Conf Record:1-18
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-9
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-3
Current OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC RPI:209
Expected OOC SOS:96


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
6-2618.75%270.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Southern California.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Cal St. Northridge (323.0)BWH66-59W100%0.0
11-14Nebraska (154.0)B10H61-64L0%0.0
11-17San Diego St. (26.0)MWCA56-54L0%0.0
11-19Cal Poly (219.0)BWH36-42L0%0.0
11-22Morgan St. (286.0)MEACH65-62W100%0.0
11-25Nevada Las Vegas (21.0)MWCA66-55L0%0.0
11-26South Carolina (194.0)SECN63-60W100%0.0
11-30UC Riverside (253.0)BWA35-56W100%0.0
12-3Minnesota (89.0)B10A55-40L0%0.0
12-10New Mexico (27.0)MWCH41-44L0%0.0
12-17Georgia (101.0)SECH59-63L0%0.0
12-19Texas Christian (114.0)MWCH83-59W100%0.0
12-22Kansas (6.0)B12H47-63L0%0.0
12-29California (37.0)P12A53-49L0%0.0
12-31Stanford (97.0)P12A51-43L0%0.0
1-5Arizona St. (252.0)P12H53-62L0%0.0
1-8Arizona (79.0)P12H46-57L0%0.0
1-15UCLA (117.0)P12H47-66L0%0.0
1-19Oregon (67.0)P12A65-62L0%0.0
1-21Oregon St. (135.0)P12A78-59L0%0.0
1-26Colorado (62.0)P12H50-74L0%0.0
1-28Utah (274.0)P12H62-45W100%0.0
2-2Washington St. (175.0)P12A60-53L0%0.0
2-4Washington (71.0)P12A69-41L0%0.0
2-9California (37.0)P12H49-75L0%0.0
2-12Stanford (97.0)P12H47-59L0%0.0
2-15UCLA (117.0)P12A64-54L0%0.0
2-23Arizona (79.0)P12A70-54L0%0.0
2-25Arizona St. (252.0)P12A56-52L0%0.0
3-1Washington (71.0)P12H58-80L0%0.0
3-3Washington St. (175.0)P12H38-43L0%0.0
3-7UCLA (117.0)P12N55-40L0%0.0