Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  South Florida   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

South Florida

Conference:BE
Expected RPI:70.5
Current RPI:70
Expected SOS:59
Current Record:20-12
Expected Record:20-12
Current Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-0
Current OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC RPI:71
Expected OOC SOS:193


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
20-1262.50%70.5100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for South Florida.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Southern Methodist (208.1)CUSAA67-61W100%0.0
11-16Virginia (126.0)ACCH66-49W100%0.0
11-19Davidson (179.5)SCN65-58W100%0.0
11-20South Carolina (93.2)SECN66-69L0%0.0
11-22NC Wilmington (237.0)CAAN74-66W100%0.0
11-25Kent St. (46.7)MACH76-54W100%0.0
11-27Florida Atlantic (216.4)SBH78-58W100%0.0
12-2Hampton (283.5)MEACH74-55W100%0.0
12-13Central Michigan (195.1)MACH56-59L0%0.0
12-16Central Florida (189.5)CUSAH69-65W100%0.0
12-19San Francisco (206.8)WCCN69-49W100%0.0
12-20San Diego (230.7)WCCN69-60W100%0.0
12-30Louisville (38.3)BEA52-73L0%0.0
1-5Notre Dame (48.1)BEH73-74L0%0.0
1-10Syracuse (5.0)BEA65-82L0%0.0
1-13West Virginia (3.9)BEH50-69L0%0.0
1-16Rutgers (160.9)BEH73-64W100%0.0
1-20Cincinnati (61.9)BEA70-78L0%0.0
1-23Providence (140.2)BEA109-105W100%0.0
1-28Seton Hall (59.6)BEH76-74W100%0.0
1-31Pittsburgh (15.8)BEH70-61W100%0.0
2-3Georgetown (7.4)BEA72-64W100%0.0
2-7Notre Dame (48.1)BEA62-65L0%0.0
2-13Marquette (49.5)BEA52-63L0%0.0
2-16Cincinnati (61.9)BEH65-57W100%0.0
2-20St. John's (82.9)BEH58-74L0%0.0
2-24Villanova (14.4)BEA49-74L0%0.0
2-27Providence (140.2)BEH99-93W100%0.0
3-2DePaul (212.2)BEA63-59W100%0.0
3-6Connecticut (62.3)BEH75-68W100%0.0
3-9DePaul (212.2)BEN58-49W100%0.0
3-10Georgetown (7.4)BEN49-69L0%0.0