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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

South Dakota

Conference:Sum
Expected RPI:291.0
Current RPI:291
Expected SOS:252
Current Record:7-18
Expected Record:7-18
Current Conf Record:5-13
Expected Conf Record:5-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-7
Current OOC Record:2-5
Expected OOC Record:2-5
Expected OOC RPI:319
Expected OOC SOS:342


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
7-1828.00%291.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for South Dakota.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Nebraska (154.0)B10A65-48L0%0.0
11-15Eastern Washington (209.0)BSkyA70-61L0%0.0
11-22Wyoming (83.0)MWCA67-56L0%0.0
12-1Oakland (139.0)SumA101-83L0%0.0
12-3IUPU Fort Wayne (278.0)SumA92-87L0%0.0
12-8Canisius (333.0)MAACA55-67W100%0.0
12-10Morehead St. (166.0)OVCA56-57W100%0.0
12-18Canisius (333.0)MAACH80-90L0%0.0
12-28Southern Utah (232.0)SumH75-81L0%0.0
12-30Oral Roberts (51.0)SumH67-79L0%0.0
1-3Western Illinois (150.0)SumA67-44L0%0.0
1-7Missouri Kansas City (266.0)SumA57-76W100%0.0
1-12South Dakota St. (42.0)SumA86-56L0%0.0
1-14North Dakota St. (184.0)SumA82-59L0%0.0
1-19IUPUI (211.0)SumH88-78W100%0.0
1-21Western Illinois (150.0)SumH45-47L0%0.0
1-26Oral Roberts (51.0)SumA97-64L0%0.0
1-28Southern Utah (232.0)SumA62-60L0%0.0
2-4Missouri Kansas City (266.0)SumH79-63W100%0.0
2-9South Dakota St. (42.0)SumH72-68W100%0.0
2-11North Dakota St. (184.0)SumH71-82L0%0.0
2-15IUPUI (211.0)SumA88-70L0%0.0
2-18Texas St. (287.0)SlndH92-93L0%0.0
2-23IUPU Fort Wayne (278.0)SumH93-84W100%0.0
2-25Oakland (139.0)SumH77-84L0%0.0