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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

South Dakota

Expected RPI:197.0
Current RPI:197
Expected SOS:149
Current Record:12-18
Expected Record:12-18
Current Conf Record:5-12
Expected Conf Record:5-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-11
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-1
Current OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC RPI:154
Expected OOC SOS:225


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for South Dakota.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Wright St. (146.0)HorzN77-69L0%0.0
11-14Northern Illinois (136.0)MACA72-65L0%0.0
11-15Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWN76-72W100%0.0
11-20Kansas St. (92.0)B12A93-72L0%0.0
11-28Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyA90-96W100%0.0
11-29Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyN71-77W100%0.0
12-5Minnesota (257.0)B10A81-85W100%0.0
12-8UMKC (286.0)WACH79-70W100%0.0
12-12Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACH67-77L0%0.0
12-17Milwaukee (173.0)HorzA91-92W100%0.0
12-19Illinois (149.0)B10A91-79L0%0.0
12-22UNLV (147.0)MWCA103-68L0%0.0
12-28Florida Gulf Coast (209.0)ASunH89-81W100%0.0
1-1IUPUI (189.0)SumH66-77L0%0.0
1-3Oral Roberts (148.0)SumA84-94W100%0.0
1-6IPFW (71.0)SumA85-65L0%0.0
1-9Nebraska Omaha (144.0)SumH73-79L0%0.0
1-13North Dakota St. (120.0)SumA66-65L0%0.0
1-20Western Illinois (262.0)SumH76-67W100%0.0
1-23South Dakota St. (29.0)SumH75-79L0%0.0
1-28Denver (188.0)SumA66-52L0%0.0
1-30Nebraska Omaha (144.0)SumA96-83L0%0.0
2-4IPFW (71.0)SumH82-95L0%0.0
2-6Oral Roberts (148.0)SumH91-79W100%0.0
2-11North Dakota St. (120.0)SumH72-58W100%0.0
2-13South Dakota St. (29.0)SumA85-68L0%0.0
2-21Denver (188.0)SumH71-76L0%0.0
2-25IUPUI (189.0)SumA82-85W100%0.0
2-27Western Illinois (262.0)SumA90-76L0%0.0
3-5IPFW (71.0)SumH70-86L0%0.0