Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  South Dakota   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

South Dakota

Conference:GWC
Expected RPI:216.8
Current RPI:222
Expected SOS:342
Current Record:17-9
Expected Record:18-9
Current Conf Record:12-1
Expected Conf Record:13-1
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-0
Probability of Auto Bid:84.52%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:17-2
Current OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC RPI:247
Expected OOC SOS:265


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-966.67%214.784.52%
17-1062.96%228.215.48%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for South Dakota.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Texas Tech (71.6)B12A49-88L0%0.0
11-14Oregon St. (184.8)P10N47-62L0%0.0
11-15Texas A&M Corpus Chris (168.4)SlndN76-73W100%0.0
11-24Marquette (49.5)BEA68-93L0%0.0
12-11Drake (180.1)MVCA81-96L0%0.0
12-13Binghamton (228.9)AEN89-77W100%0.0
12-20Wyoming (227.6)MWCA74-86L0%0.0
12-28Morehead St. (84.2)OVCH64-66L0%0.0
1-3Kansas St. (5.5)B12A69-91L0%0.0
1-8Cornell (47.6)IvyH65-71L0%0.0
1-9SIU Edwardsville (321.4)OVCH100-76W100%0.0
1-12Longwood (285.8)indH75-63W100%0.0
1-16North Dakota (339.3)GWCH74-64W100%0.0
1-21Utah Valley (342.0)GWCA68-86L0%0.0
1-23North Dakota (339.3)GWCA82-64W100%0.0
1-28Houston Baptist (326.8)GWCA92-70W100%0.0
1-30Texas Pan American (336.0)GWCA72-71W100%0.0
2-5SIU Edwardsville (321.4)OVCA91-69W100%0.0
2-11Chicago St. (344.3)GWCH79-74W100%0.0
2-18Utah Valley (342.0)GWCH59-55W100%0.0
2-25NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)GWCA68-58W100%0.0
2-27Chicago St. (344.3)GWCA77-73W100%0.0
3-4Texas Pan American (336.0)GWCH85-79W100%0.0
3-6Houston Baptist (326.8)GWCH97-84W100%0.0
3-7NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)GWCH83-49W100%0.0
3-12Texas Pan American (336.0)GWCN76-71W100%0.0