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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

South Dakota St.

Expected RPI:29.0
Current RPI:29
Expected SOS:133
Current Record:24-7
Expected Record:24-7
Current Conf Record:15-4
Expected Conf Record:15-4
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:15-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-1
Current OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC RPI:36
Expected OOC SOS:131


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for South Dakota St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Weber St. (108.0)BSkyH85-68W100%0.0
11-19Illinois St. (114.0)MVCA67-83W100%0.0
11-21TCU (174.0)B12A67-76W100%0.0
11-24Houston Baptist (224.0)SlndN68-92W100%0.0
11-25Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzN77-66W100%0.0
11-28UMKC (286.0)WACA64-57L0%0.0
12-8Minnesota (257.0)B10A70-84W100%0.0
12-13UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWH86-68W100%0.0
12-16Texas Tech (36.0)B12A79-67L0%0.0
12-19Florida Gulf Coast (209.0)ASunA52-56W100%0.0
12-22Weber St. (108.0)BSkyA99-95L0%0.0
12-27Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAN65-61W100%0.0
1-1Denver (188.0)SumH68-59W100%0.0
1-3Western Illinois (262.0)SumH63-59W100%0.0
1-7IUPUI (189.0)SumA74-67L0%0.0
1-14IPFW (71.0)SumH92-76W100%0.0
1-16North Dakota St. (120.0)SumA68-57L0%0.0
1-21Oral Roberts (148.0)SumA74-86W100%0.0
1-23South Dakota (197.0)SumA75-79W100%0.0
1-28Nebraska Omaha (144.0)SumH87-76W100%0.0
1-30Denver (188.0)SumA56-67W100%0.0
2-6IUPUI (189.0)SumH80-58W100%0.0
2-10Nebraska Omaha (144.0)SumA96-92L0%0.0
2-13South Dakota (197.0)SumH85-68W100%0.0
2-18IPFW (71.0)SumA91-79L0%0.0
2-20Western Illinois (262.0)SumA67-87W100%0.0
2-25North Dakota St. (120.0)SumH71-59W100%0.0
2-27Oral Roberts (148.0)SumH73-65W100%0.0
3-5Oral Roberts (148.0)SumH73-70W100%0.0
3-7Denver (188.0)SumH54-53W100%0.0
3-8North Dakota St. (120.0)SumH67-59W100%0.0