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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

South Dakota St.

Conference:Sum
Expected RPI:42.0
Current RPI:42
Expected SOS:180
Current Record:25-7
Expected Record:25-7
Current Conf Record:18-3
Expected Conf Record:18-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-2
Current OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC RPI:69
Expected OOC SOS:154


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
25-778.12%42.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for South Dakota St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Western Michigan (205.0)MACH82-76W100%0.0
11-14Minnesota (89.0)B10A71-55L0%0.0
11-16Georgia (101.0)SECA72-61L0%0.0
11-21Niagara (201.0)MAACN79-71W100%0.0
11-22Sam Houston St. (273.0)SlndN60-77W100%0.0
11-23Mercer (132.0)ASunA61-74W100%0.0
11-26Nebraska (154.0)B10A76-64L0%0.0
12-1IUPUI (211.0)SumA93-97W100%0.0
12-3Western Illinois (150.0)SumA66-67W100%0.0
12-10North Dakota (242.0)GWCH92-54W100%0.0
12-15North Dakota (242.0)GWCA89-70L0%0.0
12-18Washington (71.0)P12A73-92W100%0.0
12-28IUPU Fort Wayne (278.0)SumH94-58W100%0.0
12-30Oakland (139.0)SumH76-64W100%0.0
1-5Southern Utah (232.0)SumA68-75W100%0.0
1-7Oral Roberts (51.0)SumA97-75L0%0.0
1-12South Dakota (291.0)SumH86-56W100%0.0
1-14Missouri Kansas City (266.0)SumH85-58W100%0.0
1-21North Dakota St. (184.0)SumA88-91W100%0.0
1-26Oakland (139.0)SumA92-87L0%0.0
1-28IUPU Fort Wayne (278.0)SumA43-74W100%0.0
2-2Oral Roberts (51.0)SumH75-60W100%0.0
2-4Southern Utah (232.0)SumH66-56W100%0.0
2-9South Dakota (291.0)SumA72-68L0%0.0
2-11Missouri Kansas City (266.0)SumA62-75W100%0.0
2-15North Dakota St. (184.0)SumH80-57W100%0.0
2-18Buffalo (78.0)MACH86-65W100%0.0
2-23Western Illinois (150.0)SumH74-57W100%0.0
2-25IUPUI (211.0)SumH75-64W100%0.0
3-3IUPUI (211.0)SumN77-56W100%0.0
3-5Southern Utah (232.0)SumN63-47W100%0.0
3-6Western Illinois (150.0)SumN52-50W100%0.0