Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  South Dakota St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

South Dakota St.

Conference:Sum
Expected RPI:233.5
Current RPI:233
Expected SOS:241
Current Record:12-16
Expected Record:12-16
Current Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-6
Current OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC RPI:275
Expected OOC SOS:184


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-1642.86%233.5100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for South Dakota St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Wyoming (227.6)MWCA77-61W100%0.0
11-20Purdue (12.0)B10N63-74L0%0.0
11-21Boston College (124.9)ACCN58-75L0%0.0
11-23East Carolina (230.2)CUSAN73-82L0%0.0
11-28Denver (164.4)SBH80-83L0%0.0
12-3IUPUI (86.1)SumA57-79L0%0.0
12-5Western Illinois (280.0)SumA80-74W100%0.0
12-12Nevada (72.9)WACA72-92L0%0.0
12-15Cal Poly (255.8)BWH66-73L0%0.0
12-19Central Michigan (195.1)MACH80-72W100%0.0
12-23Minnesota (64.6)B10A62-92L0%0.0
12-31Oral Roberts (124.3)SumH72-70W100%0.0
1-2Centenary (314.0)SumH89-59W100%0.0
1-7Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumA74-69W100%0.0
1-9Southern Utah (325.5)SumA72-62W100%0.0
1-15North Dakota St. (268.0)SumA67-79L0%0.0
1-21IUPU Fort Wayne (225.3)SumH65-64W100%0.0
1-23Oakland (51.7)SumH82-85L0%0.0
1-28Centenary (314.0)SumA81-75W100%0.0
1-30Oral Roberts (124.3)SumA63-68L0%0.0
2-4Southern Utah (325.5)SumH84-60W100%0.0
2-6Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumH78-57W100%0.0
2-13North Dakota St. (268.0)SumH85-90L0%0.0
2-18Oakland (51.7)SumA83-88L0%0.0
2-20IUPU Fort Wayne (225.3)SumA72-78L0%0.0
2-25Western Illinois (280.0)SumH66-53W100%0.0
2-27IUPUI (86.1)SumH76-86L0%0.0
3-7IUPU Fort Wayne (225.3)SumN66-71L0%0.0