Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  South Carolina Upstate   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

South Carolina Upstate

Conference:ASun
Expected RPI:306.2
Current RPI:307
Expected SOS:224
Current Record:6-23
Expected Record:6-23
Current Conf Record:6-14
Expected Conf Record:6-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-12
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-8
Current OOC Record:0-9
Expected OOC Record:0-9
Expected OOC RPI:322
Expected OOC SOS:123


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
6-2320.69%306.2100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for South Carolina Upstate.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Nebraska (148.7)B12A49-76L0%0.0
11-16Indiana (221.7)B10A61-69L0%0.0
11-21Winthrop (159.8)BSthA46-49L0%0.0
11-24NC Greensboro (249.3)SCH70-76L0%0.0
11-28Miami FL (95.7)ACCA41-70L0%0.0
11-30Stetson (326.9)ASunH78-56W100%0.0
12-5Wichita St. (42.8)MVCA45-72L0%0.0
12-14Florida Gulf Coast (321.3)ASunH82-86L0%0.0
12-16Winthrop (159.8)BSthH53-62L0%0.0
12-19Nevada Las Vegas (40.1)MWCA58-88L0%0.0
12-23Arizona St. (63.4)P10A52-61L0%0.0
1-2Campbell (183.2)ASunH69-82L0%0.0
1-4East Tennessee St. (121.0)ASunH62-63L0%0.0
1-7Belmont (136.8)ASunA58-68L0%0.0
1-9Lipscomb (205.6)ASunA66-80L0%0.0
1-15Mercer (220.1)ASunH57-60L0%0.0
1-17Kennesaw St. (284.0)ASunH66-62W100%0.0
1-21North Florida (236.1)ASunA64-50W100%0.0
1-23Jacksonville (142.7)ASunA52-65L0%0.0
1-27North Florida (236.1)ASunH53-55L0%0.0
1-31Jacksonville (142.7)ASunH63-79L0%0.0
2-6Kennesaw St. (284.0)ASunA68-64W100%0.0
2-8Mercer (220.1)ASunA69-83L0%0.0
2-11Lipscomb (205.6)ASunH81-74W100%0.0
2-13Belmont (136.8)ASunH57-70L0%0.0
2-17Campbell (183.2)ASunA46-66L0%0.0
2-21East Tennessee St. (121.0)ASunA56-63L0%0.0
2-25Florida Gulf Coast (321.3)ASunA59-52W100%0.0
2-27Stetson (326.9)ASunA60-65L0%0.0