Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  South Carolina St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

South Carolina St.

Conference:MEAC
Expected RPI:220.8
Current RPI:224
Expected SOS:332
Current Record:15-13
Expected Record:15-14
Current Conf Record:12-6
Expected Conf Record:12-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:17.87%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:14-9
Current OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC RPI:259
Expected OOC SOS:289


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1355.17%208.317.87%
15-1451.72%223.582.13%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for South Carolina St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-30High Point (253.8)BSthA66-74L0%0.0
12-5Winston Salem St. (292.3)indA63-60W100%0.0
12-9High Point (253.8)BSthH76-63W100%0.0
12-12Miami FL (95.7)ACCA54-91L0%0.0
12-18Furman (278.9)SCA93-91W100%0.0
12-21Iowa (211.1)B10A69-82L0%0.0
12-29Clemson (34.3)ACCA67-70L0%0.0
1-2College of Charleston (91.1)SCA73-88L0%0.0
1-9Maryland Eastern Shore (307.8)MEACA80-67W100%0.0
1-11Delaware St. (219.6)MEACA58-67L0%0.0
1-16Morgan St. (102.4)MEACH67-72L0%0.0
1-18Coppin St. (337.0)MEACH87-65W100%0.0
1-23North Carolina A&T (299.1)MEACH58-67L0%0.0
1-25Norfolk St. (265.8)MEACH97-82W100%0.0
1-30Bethune Cookman (258.8)MEACA58-55W100%0.0
2-1Florida A&M (319.6)MEACA77-62W100%0.0
2-6Hampton (283.5)MEACH72-60W100%0.0
2-8Howard (329.6)MEACH77-64W100%0.0
2-13Coppin St. (337.0)MEACA61-79L0%0.0
2-15Morgan St. (102.4)MEACA71-68W100%0.0
2-17North Carolina A&T (299.1)MEACA69-87L0%0.0
2-20Georgia St. (248.0)CAAA52-67L0%0.0
2-22Norfolk St. (265.8)MEACA62-82L0%0.0
2-27Bethune Cookman (258.8)MEACH58-46W100%0.0
3-1Florida A&M (319.6)MEACH91-65W100%0.0
3-4Winston Salem St. (292.3)indH59-61L0%0.0
3-11Maryland Eastern Shore (307.8)MEACN59-53W100%0.0
3-12Delaware St. (219.6)MEACA70-66W100%0.0