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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

South Alabama

Expected RPI:240.0
Current RPI:240
Expected SOS:212
Current Record:12-19
Expected Record:12-19
Current Conf Record:9-13
Expected Conf Record:9-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-6
Current OOC Record:3-6
Expected OOC Record:3-6
Expected OOC RPI:241
Expected OOC SOS:244


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for South Alabama.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15North Carolina St. (123.0)ACCA88-70L0%0.0
11-19LSU (94.0)SECA78-66L0%0.0
11-23Belmont (98.0)OVCN85-98L0%0.0
11-24IUPUI (189.0)SumN68-78W100%0.0
11-28Denver (188.0)SumA69-56L0%0.0
12-5Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAA68-55L0%0.0
12-14Southern Miss (314.0)CUSAH54-57L0%0.0
12-18Samford (252.0)SCA70-72W100%0.0
12-22Rice (279.0)CUSAH74-67W100%0.0
12-30Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBH60-69L0%0.0
1-2Arkansas St. (285.0)SBH67-89L0%0.0
1-7Georgia Southern (243.0)SBA58-64W100%0.0
1-9Georgia St. (180.0)SBA70-55L0%0.0
1-14Texas St. (238.0)SBH67-78L0%0.0
1-16UT Arlington (105.0)SBH88-85W100%0.0
1-21Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBA92-82L0%0.0
1-23Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBA100-68L0%0.0
1-26Troy (293.0)SBA58-66W100%0.0
1-30Appalachian St. (259.0)SBH73-60W100%0.0
2-4Arkansas St. (285.0)SBA79-73L0%0.0
2-6Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBA74-43L0%0.0
2-11Georgia St. (180.0)SBH79-78W100%0.0
2-13Georgia Southern (243.0)SBH80-76W100%0.0
2-16Troy (293.0)SBH54-61L0%0.0
2-18Appalachian St. (259.0)SBA71-75W100%0.0
2-25Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBH59-66L0%0.0
2-27Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBH83-70W100%0.0
3-3UT Arlington (105.0)SBA92-79L0%0.0
3-5Texas St. (238.0)SBA68-57L0%0.0
3-10Georgia Southern (243.0)SBN61-67W100%0.0
3-11Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBN90-68L0%0.0