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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

South Alabama

Conference:SB
Expected RPI:169.0
Current RPI:169
Expected SOS:226
Current Record:16-12
Expected Record:16-12
Current Conf Record:9-9
Expected Conf Record:9-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-2
Current OOC Record:7-3
Expected OOC Record:7-3
Expected OOC RPI:101
Expected OOC SOS:216


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
16-1257.14%169.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for South Alabama.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Mississippi St. (75.0)SECA80-65L0%0.0
11-20Florida St. (11.0)ACCA80-39L0%0.0
11-23Louisiana St. (84.0)SECA75-79W100%0.0
11-30UAB (112.0)CUSAH55-47W100%0.0
12-3Alabama A&M (342.0)SWACH67-44W100%0.0
12-7Southern Mississippi (20.0)CUSAH54-67L0%0.0
12-11Alcorn St. (335.0)SWACH102-62W100%0.0
12-15Texas A&M Corpus Chris (319.0)SlndA64-66W100%0.0
12-19Georgia Southern (203.0)SCH70-57W100%0.0
12-22San Diego (192.0)WCCN62-68W100%0.0
12-31Middle Tennessee (56.0)SBA68-52L0%0.0
1-5North Texas (200.0)SBH73-78L0%0.0
1-7Denver (94.0)SBH50-67L0%0.0
1-12Louisiana Lafayette (185.0)SBA65-70W100%0.0
1-14Troy (260.0)SBA60-75W100%0.0
1-19Florida International (251.0)SBH62-65L0%0.0
1-21Middle Tennessee (56.0)SBH47-68L0%0.0
1-26Arkansas Little Rock (176.0)SBA75-50L0%0.0
1-29Troy (260.0)SBH68-66W100%0.0
2-2Florida Atlantic (207.0)SBH65-56W100%0.0
2-4Western Kentucky (189.0)SBA75-66L0%0.0
2-9Arkansas St. (222.0)SBH74-57W100%0.0
2-11Louisiana Monroe (317.0)SBA86-88W100%0.0
2-18Western Kentucky (189.0)SBH66-61W100%0.0
2-23Florida Atlantic (207.0)SBA76-79W100%0.0
2-25Florida International (251.0)SBA81-74L0%0.0
3-3Troy (260.0)SBN87-81W100%0.0
3-4Denver (94.0)SBN61-50L0%0.0