Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  South Alabama   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

South Alabama

Conference:SB
Expected RPI:209.4
Current RPI:211
Expected SOS:247
Current Record:15-15
Expected Record:15-15
Current Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-4
Current OOC Record:6-4
Expected OOC Record:6-4
Expected OOC RPI:183
Expected OOC SOS:285


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
15-1550.00%209.4100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for South Alabama.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Houston Baptist (326.8)GWCA76-64W100%0.0
11-14Rice (311.0)CUSAA69-71L0%0.0
11-15Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyN70-58W100%0.0
11-21Tulsa (66.5)CUSAA62-84L0%0.0
11-25Alcorn St. (345.5)SWACH83-67W100%0.0
11-26Georgia St. (248.0)CAAH70-66W100%0.0
11-29Arkansas (159.8)SECA74-61W100%0.0
12-12Southern Mississippi (112.8)CUSAH54-66L0%0.0
12-16Arkansas Little Rock (300.2)SBH74-71W100%0.0
12-19UAB (45.3)CUSAH54-72L0%0.0
12-22Florida (54.2)SECA67-66W100%0.0
12-31Florida International (296.0)SBA71-59W100%0.0
1-2Florida Atlantic (216.4)SBA96-93W100%0.0
1-7Western Kentucky (133.5)SBH64-67L0%0.0
1-9Arkansas St. (200.9)SBH63-69L0%0.0
1-14Louisiana Monroe (273.3)SBA58-61L0%0.0
1-16Troy (109.6)SBH69-67W100%0.0
1-21North Texas (103.0)SBA78-86L0%0.0
1-23Denver (164.4)SBA48-71L0%0.0
1-28Florida Atlantic (216.4)SBH59-70L0%0.0
1-30Troy (109.6)SBA66-73L0%0.0
2-4New Orleans (323.2)SBA59-51W100%0.0
2-6Middle Tennessee (178.3)SBH68-80L0%0.0
2-11Florida International (296.0)SBH69-65W100%0.0
2-13Louisiana Lafayette (245.4)SBH67-65W100%0.0
2-18Western Kentucky (133.5)SBA69-99L0%0.0
2-20Middle Tennessee (178.3)SBA54-81L0%0.0
2-25Denver (164.4)SBH54-52W100%0.0
3-6Florida Atlantic (216.4)SBN52-51W100%0.0
3-7Troy (109.6)SBN55-67L0%0.0