Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Santa Clara   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Santa Clara

Conference:WCC
Expected RPI:234.3
Current RPI:235
Expected SOS:140
Current Record:9-21
Expected Record:9-21
Current Conf Record:3-12
Expected Conf Record:3-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-5
Current OOC Record:6-9
Expected OOC Record:6-9
Expected OOC RPI:187
Expected OOC SOS:87


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
9-2130.00%234.3100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Santa Clara.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)indA84-81W100%0.0
11-19San Diego St. (24.6)MWCA53-86L0%0.0
11-22Pacific (128.6)BWA57-84L0%0.0
11-25Northern Arizona (198.2)BSkyH72-88L0%0.0
11-28Fresno St. (190.4)WACH74-67W100%0.0
12-1UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWA79-68W100%0.0
12-5Nevada Las Vegas (40.1)MWCH63-66L0%0.0
12-14Houston Baptist (326.8)GWCA68-65W100%0.0
12-16Rice (311.0)CUSAA57-70L0%0.0
12-21Pacific (128.6)BWH54-53W100%0.0
12-23San Jose St. (177.2)WACH68-74L0%0.0
12-29Northeastern (74.0)CAAH50-62L0%0.0
12-30Wofford (68.8)SCH72-80L0%0.0
1-2New Hampshire (242.9)AEH71-68W100%0.0
1-4Harvard (98.9)IvyH66-74L0%0.0
1-8San Diego (230.7)WCCH46-55L0%0.0
1-10St. Mary's (35.6)WCCH72-80L0%0.0
1-14Pepperdine (304.1)WCCA60-61L0%0.0
1-16Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCA70-81L0%0.0
1-23San Francisco (206.8)WCCA66-65W100%0.0
1-28Gonzaga (37.1)WCCH64-71L0%0.0
1-30Portland (79.9)WCCH52-74L0%0.0
2-4St. Mary's (35.6)WCCA62-74L0%0.0
2-6San Diego (230.7)WCCA59-43W100%0.0
2-11Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCH67-73L0%0.0
2-13Pepperdine (304.1)WCCH62-54W100%0.0
2-20San Francisco (206.8)WCCH68-71L0%0.0
2-25Gonzaga (37.1)WCCA51-88L0%0.0
2-27Portland (79.9)WCCA55-68L0%0.0
3-5San Diego (230.7)WCCN59-61L0%0.0