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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Santa Clara

Conference:WCC
Expected RPI:303.0
Current RPI:303
Expected SOS:178
Current Record:6-22
Expected Record:6-22
Current Conf Record:0-17
Expected Conf Record:0-17
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-6
Current OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC RPI:198
Expected OOC SOS:249


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
6-2221.43%303.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Santa Clara.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15UC Santa Barbara (119.0)BWA89-56L0%0.0
11-19San Jose St. (279.0)WACH84-58W100%0.0
11-24New Mexico (27.0)MWCN79-76W100%0.0
11-25Oklahoma (137.0)B12N73-85L0%0.0
11-27Villanova (121.0)BEN64-65W100%0.0
12-3Cal St. Northridge (323.0)BWH71-58W100%0.0
12-11Washington St. (175.0)P12A93-55L0%0.0
12-17Pacific (288.0)BWH78-76W100%0.0
12-21Houston Baptist (324.0)GWCA72-71L0%0.0
12-29Eastern Michigan (243.0)MACH75-55W100%0.0
12-30Wagner (93.0)NECH62-64L0%0.0
1-5Portland (238.0)WCCA84-74L0%0.0
1-7Gonzaga (25.0)WCCA82-60L0%0.0
1-12San Diego (192.0)WCCH62-75L0%0.0
1-14Brigham Young (46.0)WCCA95-78L0%0.0
1-21St. Mary's (28.0)WCCH77-93L0%0.0
1-23Loyola Marymount (118.0)WCCH62-74L0%0.0
1-26San Francisco (136.0)WCCH77-90L0%0.0
1-28Pepperdine (271.0)WCCA74-62L0%0.0
2-2Portland (238.0)WCCH78-84L0%0.0
2-4San Diego (192.0)WCCA70-65L0%0.0
2-9San Francisco (136.0)WCCA85-69L0%0.0
2-11St. Mary's (28.0)WCCA82-67L0%0.0
2-16Gonzaga (25.0)WCCH62-73L0%0.0
2-18Brigham Young (46.0)WCCH67-82L0%0.0
2-23Pepperdine (271.0)WCCH57-63L0%0.0
2-25Loyola Marymount (118.0)WCCA68-65L0%0.0
2-29Portland (238.0)WCCN74-70L0%0.0