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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

San Jose St.

Conference:WAC
Expected RPI:279.0
Current RPI:279
Expected SOS:182
Current Record:8-22
Expected Record:8-22
Current Conf Record:1-14
Expected Conf Record:1-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-8
Current OOC Record:7-8
Expected OOC Record:7-8
Expected OOC RPI:244
Expected OOC SOS:300


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
8-2226.67%279.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for San Jose St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Cal Poly (219.0)BWA79-52L0%0.0
11-14UC Irvine (254.0)BWH51-50W100%0.0
11-16San Francisco (136.0)WCCA83-81L0%0.0
11-19Santa Clara (303.0)WCCA84-58L0%0.0
11-28Montana St. (275.0)BSkyH70-77L0%0.0
11-30Texas San Antonio (196.0)SlndH72-66W100%0.0
12-3Weber St. (70.0)BSkyA91-89L0%0.0
12-7California (37.0)P12A81-36L0%0.0
12-10Cal Poly (219.0)BWH40-47L0%0.0
12-20UC Davis (338.0)BWH79-59W100%0.0
12-22UC Riverside (253.0)BWA66-64L0%0.0
12-29Coppin St. (276.0)MEACN81-66W100%0.0
12-30Seattle (277.0)indA74-84W100%0.0
1-7Hawaii (204.0)WACA82-69L0%0.0
1-12Nevada (65.0)WACA81-57L0%0.0
1-14Fresno St. (229.0)WACA82-73L0%0.0
1-19New Mexico St. (59.0)WACH63-79L0%0.0
1-21Louisiana Tech (160.0)WACH67-71L0%0.0
1-23Cal St. Bakersfield (213.0)indH78-70W100%0.0
1-26Idaho (146.0)WACA74-66L0%0.0
1-28Utah St. (143.0)WACA82-65L0%0.0
2-4Hawaii (204.0)WACH81-83L0%0.0
2-9Fresno St. (229.0)WACH79-71W100%0.0
2-11Nevada (65.0)WACH70-76L0%0.0
2-18Sacramento St. (315.0)BSkyA67-79W100%0.0
2-23Louisiana Tech (160.0)WACA75-49L0%0.0
2-25New Mexico St. (59.0)WACA79-68L0%0.0
3-1Utah St. (143.0)WACH61-71L0%0.0
3-3Idaho (146.0)WACH64-70L0%0.0
3-8Nevada (65.0)WACN54-44L0%0.0