Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  San Jose St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

San Jose St.

Conference:WAC
Expected RPI:177.2
Current RPI:177
Expected SOS:127
Current Record:13-17
Expected Record:13-17
Current Conf Record:6-11
Expected Conf Record:6-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-4
Current OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC RPI:141
Expected OOC SOS:181


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
13-1743.33%177.2100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for San Jose St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-20Washington (46.7)P10A70-80L0%0.0
11-22UC Riverside (255.6)BWA66-70L0%0.0
11-28Pacific (128.6)BWH59-55W100%0.0
11-30St. Mary's (35.6)WCCH71-78L0%0.0
12-5Utah Valley (342.0)GWCA82-74W100%0.0
12-8San Francisco (206.8)WCCA71-76L0%0.0
12-9Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)indH84-80W100%0.0
12-18UC Irvine (275.6)BWA69-56W100%0.0
12-21Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyA69-93L0%0.0
12-23Santa Clara (234.3)WCCA74-68W100%0.0
12-28UC Irvine (275.6)BWH78-68W100%0.0
1-4Idaho (173.2)WACH78-75W100%0.0
1-9Nevada (72.9)WACA67-96L0%0.0
1-11Fresno St. (190.4)WACA70-80L0%0.0
1-14Boise St. (202.8)WACH76-74W100%0.0
1-17Hawaii (253.2)WACA67-68L0%0.0
1-21Louisiana Tech (77.1)WACH87-76W100%0.0
1-23New Mexico St. (58.1)WACH93-84W100%0.0
1-28Hawaii (253.2)WACH83-60W100%0.0
1-30Utah St. (24.4)WACA58-77L0%0.0
2-4Louisiana Tech (77.1)WACA64-71L0%0.0
2-6New Mexico St. (58.1)WACA82-94L0%0.0
2-13Utah St. (24.4)WACH65-81L0%0.0
2-20Montana St. (200.5)BSkyA77-66W100%0.0
2-22Seattle (191.8)indH88-90L0%0.0
2-25Nevada (72.9)WACH79-83L0%0.0
2-27Fresno St. (190.4)WACH72-45W100%0.0
3-4Idaho (173.2)WACA76-86L0%0.0
3-6Boise St. (202.8)WACA56-85L0%0.0
3-11New Mexico St. (58.1)WACN69-90L0%0.0