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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

San Jose St.

Expected RPI:301.0
Current RPI:301
Expected SOS:153
Current Record:6-22
Expected Record:6-22
Current Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-14
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:2-5
Current OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC RPI:330
Expected OOC SOS:289


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for San Jose St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Idaho (191.0)BSkyH54-74L0%0.0
11-16Montana (145.0)BSkyH64-61W100%0.0
11-20Montana St. (260.0)BSkyA81-69L0%0.0
11-25Toledo (182.0)MACN89-74L0%0.0
11-27San Diego (302.0)WCCN67-76W100%0.0
12-5Santa Clara (251.0)WCCA78-75L0%0.0
12-8Marquette (110.0)BEA80-62L0%0.0
12-13Montana St. (260.0)BSkyH83-91L0%0.0
12-20Seattle (287.0)WACA67-64L0%0.0
12-30Utah St. (151.0)MWCH71-80L0%0.0
1-2Air Force (226.0)MWCA64-57L0%0.0
1-6San Diego St. (41.0)MWCA77-62L0%0.0
1-9Colorado St. (181.0)MWCH84-85L0%0.0
1-13Wyoming (187.0)MWCH62-55W100%0.0
1-16Fresno St. (66.0)MWCA81-74L0%0.0
1-20Boise St. (101.0)MWCA94-69L0%0.0
1-23New Mexico (141.0)MWCH64-83L0%0.0
1-27Colorado St. (181.0)MWCA74-66L0%0.0
1-30Air Force (226.0)MWCH75-54W100%0.0
2-3Fresno St. (66.0)MWCH65-53W100%0.0
2-10UNLV (147.0)MWCA64-61L0%0.0
2-13New Mexico (141.0)MWCA74-58L0%0.0
2-17Nevada (118.0)MWCH55-61L0%0.0
2-21San Diego St. (41.0)MWCH56-78L0%0.0
2-27Utah St. (151.0)MWCA88-70L0%0.0
3-2Wyoming (187.0)MWCA81-78L0%0.0
3-5Boise St. (101.0)MWCH68-63W100%0.0
3-9Colorado St. (181.0)MWCN80-61L0%0.0