Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  San Francisco   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

San Francisco

Conference:WCC
Expected RPI:206.8
Current RPI:207
Expected SOS:122
Current Record:10-18
Expected Record:10-18
Current Conf Record:7-8
Expected Conf Record:7-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-3
Current OOC Record:3-10
Expected OOC Record:3-10
Expected OOC RPI:262
Expected OOC SOS:113


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
10-1835.71%206.8100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for San Francisco.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Cal Poly (255.8)BWH73-62W100%0.0
11-20Arizona St. (63.4)P10A65-104L0%0.0
11-23UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWA65-76L0%0.0
11-25Montana St. (200.5)BSkyH66-70L0%0.0
11-29Colorado St. (119.8)MWCA75-91L0%0.0
12-1Colorado (119.2)B12A54-78L0%0.0
12-5Brigham Young (21.9)MWCN43-69L0%0.0
12-8San Jose St. (177.2)WACH76-71W100%0.0
12-12Loyola Chicago (213.2)HorzA63-66L0%0.0
12-19South Florida (70.5)BEN49-69L0%0.0
12-20Southern Illinois (170.6)MVCN66-67L0%0.0
12-23Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)indH82-73W100%0.0
12-27Washington (46.7)P10A71-86L0%0.0
1-8St. Mary's (35.6)WCCH62-83L0%0.0
1-10San Diego (230.7)WCCH87-71W100%0.0
1-14Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCA70-67W100%0.0
1-16Pepperdine (304.1)WCCA68-83L0%0.0
1-23Santa Clara (234.3)WCCH65-66L0%0.0
1-28Portland (79.9)WCCH58-74L0%0.0
1-30Gonzaga (37.1)WCCH81-77W100%0.0
2-4San Diego (230.7)WCCA72-70W100%0.0
2-6St. Mary's (35.6)WCCA57-73L0%0.0
2-11Pepperdine (304.1)WCCH77-47W100%0.0
2-13Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCH75-66W100%0.0
2-20Santa Clara (234.3)WCCA71-68W100%0.0
2-25Portland (79.9)WCCA59-70L0%0.0
2-27Gonzaga (37.1)WCCA69-75L0%0.0
3-6Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCN76-84L0%0.0