Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  San Diego   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

San Diego

Conference:WCC
Expected RPI:230.7
Current RPI:231
Expected SOS:146
Current Record:10-21
Expected Record:10-21
Current Conf Record:4-12
Expected Conf Record:4-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-4
Current OOC Record:6-9
Expected OOC Record:6-9
Expected OOC RPI:209
Expected OOC SOS:130


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
10-2132.26%230.7100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for San Diego.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Stanford (165.1)P10H77-64W100%0.0
11-16Pacific (128.6)BWA55-56L0%0.0
11-25Oklahoma (117.9)B12N76-64W100%0.0
11-27Houston (126.1)CUSAN72-65W100%0.0
11-28Washington St. (162.6)P10N56-93L0%0.0
12-2San Diego St. (24.6)MWCH62-69L0%0.0
12-4UC Riverside (255.6)BWA55-58L0%0.0
12-6Fresno St. (190.4)WACA37-69L0%0.0
12-9New Mexico (10.5)MWCH78-82L0%0.0
12-12Boise St. (202.8)WACA59-56W100%0.0
12-19Southern Illinois (170.6)MVCN68-70L0%0.0
12-20South Florida (70.5)BEN60-69L0%0.0
12-29Savannah St. (316.0)indH63-56W100%0.0
12-31Mississippi St. (60.9)SECH68-77L0%0.0
1-3Florida A&M (319.6)MEACH74-64W100%0.0
1-8Santa Clara (234.3)WCCA55-46W100%0.0
1-10San Francisco (206.8)WCCA71-87L0%0.0
1-14Portland (79.9)WCCH54-63L0%0.0
1-16Gonzaga (37.1)WCCH50-68L0%0.0
1-21St. Mary's (35.6)WCCA56-71L0%0.0
1-28Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCA65-68L0%0.0
1-30Pepperdine (304.1)WCCA66-44W100%0.0
2-4San Francisco (206.8)WCCH70-72L0%0.0
2-6Santa Clara (234.3)WCCH43-59L0%0.0
2-11Portland (79.9)WCCA56-70L0%0.0
2-13Gonzaga (37.1)WCCA65-82L0%0.0
2-18St. Mary's (35.6)WCCH49-61L0%0.0
2-25Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCH69-72L0%0.0
2-27Pepperdine (304.1)WCCH65-48W100%0.0
3-5Santa Clara (234.3)WCCN61-59W100%0.0
3-6Portland (79.9)WCCN57-72L0%0.0