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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

San Diego

Expected RPI:302.0
Current RPI:302
Expected SOS:230
Current Record:8-21
Expected Record:8-21
Current Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-11
Current OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC RPI:296
Expected OOC SOS:328


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for San Diego.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13USC (51.0)P12A83-45L0%0.0
11-17Western Michigan (202.0)MACA74-62L0%0.0
11-21Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWA67-55L0%0.0
11-25Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCN67-57L0%0.0
11-27San Jose St. (301.0)MWCN67-76L0%0.0
11-28Drexel (247.0)CAAN59-62W100%0.0
12-6San Diego St. (41.0)MWCN48-53W100%0.0
12-9Denver (188.0)SumH47-59L0%0.0
12-15UC Davis (281.0)BWH61-55W100%0.0
12-23Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWH81-63W100%0.0
12-31Pacific (268.0)WCCA77-75L0%0.0
1-2Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCA79-46L0%0.0
1-7San Francisco (228.0)WCCH65-73L0%0.0
1-9Santa Clara (251.0)WCCH53-65L0%0.0
1-14Portland (249.0)WCCA71-82W100%0.0
1-16Gonzaga (46.0)WCCA88-52L0%0.0
1-21Pepperdine (129.0)WCCA76-58L0%0.0
1-23Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCA67-63L0%0.0
1-28Pepperdine (129.0)WCCH65-75L0%0.0
1-30Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCH77-69W100%0.0
2-4Pacific (268.0)WCCH54-43W100%0.0
2-6Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCH43-60L0%0.0
2-11Santa Clara (251.0)WCCA74-71L0%0.0
2-13San Francisco (228.0)WCCA68-51L0%0.0
2-18BYU (76.0)WCCH67-69L0%0.0
2-20BYU (76.0)WCCA91-33L0%0.0
2-25Gonzaga (46.0)WCCH60-82L0%0.0
2-27Portland (249.0)WCCH85-76W100%0.0
3-4Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCN64-61L0%0.0