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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

San Diego

Conference:WCC
Expected RPI:192.0
Current RPI:192
Expected SOS:114
Current Record:11-18
Expected Record:11-18
Current Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-3
Current OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC RPI:271
Expected OOC SOS:142


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
11-1837.93%192.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for San Diego.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Stephen F. Austin (202.0)SlndH66-61W100%0.0
11-20Montana (74.0)BSkyH60-73L0%0.0
11-26Alcorn St. (335.0)SWACN66-65W100%0.0
11-27Tulane (250.0)CUSAA65-46L0%0.0
12-3UC Irvine (254.0)BWA99-79L0%0.0
12-7San Diego St. (26.0)MWCH62-74L0%0.0
12-10Maine (282.0)AEH77-63W100%0.0
12-13UC Santa Barbara (119.0)BWH61-65L0%0.0
12-17Stanford (97.0)P12A75-55L0%0.0
12-22South Alabama (169.0)SBN62-68L0%0.0
12-31Brigham Young (46.0)WCCA88-52L0%0.0
1-5St. Mary's (28.0)WCCH72-78L0%0.0
1-7Loyola Marymount (118.0)WCCH68-79L0%0.0
1-12Santa Clara (303.0)WCCA62-75W100%0.0
1-16Brigham Young (46.0)WCCH63-82L0%0.0
1-19Portland (238.0)WCCA63-82W100%0.0
1-21Gonzaga (25.0)WCCA77-60L0%0.0
1-26Pepperdine (271.0)WCCH65-56W100%0.0
1-28San Francisco (136.0)WCCA84-70L0%0.0
2-2St. Mary's (28.0)WCCA84-73L0%0.0
2-4Santa Clara (303.0)WCCH70-65W100%0.0
2-9Pepperdine (271.0)WCCA57-70W100%0.0
2-11San Francisco (136.0)WCCH70-81L0%0.0
2-16Portland (238.0)WCCH78-75W100%0.0
2-18Cal St. Bakersfield (213.0)indA72-63L0%0.0
2-23Loyola Marymount (118.0)WCCA57-60W100%0.0
2-25Gonzaga (25.0)WCCH57-65L0%0.0
3-1Pepperdine (271.0)WCCN76-54W100%0.0
3-2Brigham Young (46.0)WCCN73-68L0%0.0