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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

San Diego

Conference:WCC
Expected RPI:165.0
Current RPI:165
Expected SOS:100
Current Record:14-18
Expected Record:14-18
Current Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-3
Current OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC RPI:242
Expected OOC SOS:194


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1843.75%165.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for San Diego.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Northern Kentucky (264.0)ASunH65-61W100%0.0
11-15Cal St. Northridge (254.0)BWH71-74L0%0.0
11-16Tulsa (127.0)CUSAH51-63L0%0.0
11-18Siena (295.0)MAACH77-60W100%0.0
11-21UC Santa Barbara (244.0)BWA57-39L0%0.0
11-24Montana (66.0)BSkyA67-66L0%0.0
12-1Stephen F. Austin (65.0)SlndA56-51L0%0.0
12-4Southern Utah (314.0)BSkyA53-67W100%0.0
12-8Tulane (175.0)CUSAH78-72W100%0.0
12-15San Diego St. (30.0)MWCA72-56L0%0.0
12-22Oregon St. (181.0)P12N86-79L0%0.0
12-23James Madison (182.0)CAAN59-62L0%0.0
12-29Morgan St. (236.0)MEACH66-63W100%0.0
1-3Portland (231.0)WCCH61-50W100%0.0
1-10San Francisco (167.0)WCCA66-70W100%0.0
1-12Pepperdine (212.0)WCCA50-62W100%0.0
1-16Loyola Marymount (211.0)WCCH78-70W100%0.0
1-19Brigham Young (69.0)WCCA74-57L0%0.0
1-24St. Mary's (29.0)WCCA81-48L0%0.0
1-26Santa Clara (101.0)WCCH50-64L0%0.0
2-2Gonzaga (6.0)WCCH63-65L0%0.0
2-4Loyola Marymount (211.0)WCCA68-69W100%0.0
2-7Brigham Young (69.0)WCCH74-68W100%0.0
2-9St. Mary's (29.0)WCCH64-74L0%0.0
2-14Santa Clara (101.0)WCCA61-52L0%0.0
2-21Portland (231.0)WCCA70-67L0%0.0
2-23Gonzaga (6.0)WCCA81-50L0%0.0
2-28San Francisco (167.0)WCCH70-83L0%0.0
3-2Pepperdine (212.0)WCCH76-69W100%0.0
3-7Pepperdine (212.0)WCCN62-59W100%0.0
3-8Brigham Young (69.0)WCCN69-72W100%0.0
3-9St. Mary's (29.0)WCCN69-66L0%0.0