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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

San Diego St.

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:30.0
Current RPI:30
Expected SOS:15
Current Record:20-10
Expected Record:20-10
Current Conf Record:10-8
Expected Conf Record:10-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:2-7
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-0
Current OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC RPI:27
Expected OOC SOS:82


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
20-1066.67%30.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for San Diego St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Syracuse (14.0)BEN49-62L0%0.0
11-17Missouri St. (203.0)MVCA44-60W100%0.0
11-21Arkansas Pine Bluff (202.0)SWACH79-43W100%0.0
11-25Southern California (118.0)P12A60-66W100%0.0
12-1UCLA (26.0)P12N69-78W100%0.0
12-3Texas Southern (184.0)SWACH74-62W100%0.0
12-6UC Santa Barbara (244.0)BWH84-70W100%0.0
12-15San Diego (165.0)WCCH72-56W100%0.0
12-22San Francisco (167.0)WCCN58-80W100%0.0
12-23Indiana St. (74.0)MVCN62-55W100%0.0
12-25Arizona (16.0)P12N67-68L0%0.0
1-2Cal St. Bakersfield (235.0)indH72-57W100%0.0
1-9Fresno St. (135.0)MWCA62-65W100%0.0
1-12Colorado St. (18.0)MWCH79-72W100%0.0
1-16Nevada Las Vegas (23.0)MWCH75-82L0%0.0
1-19Wyoming (75.0)MWCA58-45L0%0.0
1-23Nevada (171.0)MWCA57-78W100%0.0
1-26New Mexico (2.0)MWCH55-34W100%0.0
2-2Air Force (80.0)MWCA70-67L0%0.0
2-6Boise St. (45.0)MWCH63-62W100%0.0
2-9Fresno St. (135.0)MWCH75-53W100%0.0
2-13Colorado St. (18.0)MWCA66-60L0%0.0
2-16Nevada Las Vegas (23.0)MWCA72-70L0%0.0
2-19Wyoming (75.0)MWCH79-51W100%0.0
2-23Nevada (171.0)MWCH88-75W100%0.0
2-27New Mexico (2.0)MWCA70-60L0%0.0
3-6Air Force (80.0)MWCH58-51W100%0.0
3-9Boise St. (45.0)MWCA69-65L0%0.0
3-13Boise St. (45.0)MWCN73-67W100%0.0
3-15New Mexico (2.0)MWCN60-50L0%0.0