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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

San Diego St.

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:26.0
Current RPI:26
Expected SOS:58
Current Record:24-7
Expected Record:24-7
Current Conf Record:12-5
Expected Conf Record:12-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-0
Current OOC Record:12-2
Expected OOC Record:12-2
Expected OOC RPI:57
Expected OOC SOS:206


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
24-777.42%26.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for San Diego St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Bryant (340.0)NECH75-63W100%0.0
11-12Southern Utah (232.0)SumH70-37W100%0.0
11-13UC Davis (338.0)BWH89-74W100%0.0
11-15Baylor (8.0)B12A77-67L0%0.0
11-17Southern California (270.0)P12H56-54W100%0.0
11-19Long Beach St. (34.0)BWH77-73W100%0.0
11-23Arizona (79.0)P12A57-61W100%0.0
11-26UC Santa Barbara (119.0)BWA75-76W100%0.0
11-30Creighton (24.0)MVCH83-85L0%0.0
12-4California (37.0)P12H64-63W100%0.0
12-7San Diego (192.0)WCCA62-74W100%0.0
12-19UC Riverside (253.0)BWH80-55W100%0.0
12-22Elon (228.0)SCH81-55W100%0.0
1-10Chicago St. (336.0)GWCH73-65W100%0.0
1-14Nevada Las Vegas (21.0)MWCH69-67W100%0.0
1-18New Mexico (27.0)MWCA70-75W100%0.0
1-21Air Force (168.0)MWCH57-44W100%0.0
1-24Wyoming (83.0)MWCA42-52W100%0.0
1-28Colorado St. (29.0)MWCA77-60L0%0.0
2-1Boise St. (173.0)MWCH58-56W100%0.0
2-4Texas Christian (114.0)MWCH83-73W100%0.0
2-11Nevada Las Vegas (21.0)MWCA65-63L0%0.0
2-15New Mexico (27.0)MWCH67-77L0%0.0
2-18Air Force (168.0)MWCA58-56L0%0.0
2-22Wyoming (83.0)MWCH67-58W100%0.0
2-25Colorado St. (29.0)MWCH74-66W100%0.0
2-29Boise St. (173.0)MWCA53-66W100%0.0
3-3Texas Christian (114.0)MWCA92-98W100%0.0
3-8Boise St. (173.0)MWCN65-62W100%0.0
3-9Colorado St. (29.0)MWCN79-69W100%0.0
3-10New Mexico (27.0)MWCN59-68L0%0.0