- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

San Diego St.

Expected RPI:41.0
Current RPI:41
Expected SOS:61
Current Record:23-9
Expected Record:23-9
Current Conf Record:18-3
Expected Conf Record:18-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:15-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-1
Current OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC RPI:103
Expected OOC SOS:2


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for San Diego St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Illinois St. (114.0)MVCH71-60W100%0.0
11-16Utah (8.0)P12A81-76L0%0.0
11-21Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBH43-49L0%0.0
11-23East Carolina (217.0)AmerH79-54W100%0.0
11-26California (16.0)P12N72-58W100%0.0
11-27West Virginia (10.0)B12N50-72L0%0.0
12-1Long Beach St. (79.0)BWA72-76W100%0.0
12-6San Diego (302.0)WCCN48-53L0%0.0
12-10Nicholls St. (313.0)SlndH84-47W100%0.0
12-18Grand Canyon (91.0)WACH45-52L0%0.0
12-22Kansas (1.0)B12H57-70L0%0.0
12-30Wyoming (187.0)MWCH67-55W100%0.0
1-2Utah St. (151.0)MWCA67-70W100%0.0
1-6San Jose St. (301.0)MWCH77-62W100%0.0
1-13Colorado St. (181.0)MWCA62-69W100%0.0
1-16Boise St. (101.0)MWCA53-56W100%0.0
1-19Fresno St. (66.0)MWCH73-67W100%0.0
1-23Utah St. (151.0)MWCH70-55W100%0.0
1-26Nevada (118.0)MWCA54-57W100%0.0
1-30UNLV (147.0)MWCA52-67W100%0.0
2-2Colorado St. (181.0)MWCH69-67W100%0.0
2-6New Mexico (141.0)MWCH78-71W100%0.0
2-10Fresno St. (66.0)MWCA58-57L0%0.0
2-13Air Force (226.0)MWCH70-61W100%0.0
2-21San Jose St. (301.0)MWCA56-78W100%0.0
2-24Wyoming (187.0)MWCA61-73W100%0.0
2-27Boise St. (101.0)MWCH63-66L0%0.0
3-1New Mexico (141.0)MWCA56-83W100%0.0
3-5UNLV (147.0)MWCH92-56W100%0.0
3-10Utah St. (151.0)MWCN71-65W100%0.0
3-11Nevada (118.0)MWCN67-55W100%0.0
3-12Fresno St. (66.0)MWCN63-68L0%0.0