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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Sam Houston St.

Expected RPI:178.0
Current RPI:178
Expected SOS:229
Current Record:15-14
Expected Record:15-14
Current Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:14-4
Current OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC RPI:181
Expected OOC SOS:34


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Sam Houston St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14SMU (13.0)AmerA85-50L0%0.0
11-21Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCH81-86L0%0.0
11-23California (16.0)P12A89-63L0%0.0
11-27Bethune Cookman (288.0)MEACN46-71W100%0.0
12-2Texas Tech (36.0)B12A71-56L0%0.0
12-18LIU Brooklyn (254.0)NECA69-75W100%0.0
12-21UC Irvine (75.0)BWN63-53L0%0.0
12-22UTEP (215.0)CUSAA87-68L0%0.0
12-29North Texas (295.0)CUSAA69-64L0%0.0
1-2Incarnate Word (163.0)SlndA72-78W100%0.0
1-4Northwestern St. (344.0)SlndA79-94W100%0.0
1-9New Orleans (343.0)SlndH73-70W100%0.0
1-11Southeastern Louisiana (331.0)SlndH70-63W100%0.0
1-16McNeese St. (341.0)SlndA72-68L0%0.0
1-18Nicholls St. (313.0)SlndH87-76W100%0.0
1-23Stephen F. Austin (61.0)SlndA76-64L0%0.0
1-25Abilene Christian (321.0)SlndH72-51W100%0.0
1-30Houston Baptist (224.0)SlndA70-69L0%0.0
2-1Lamar (337.0)SlndA66-69W100%0.0
2-6Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndA51-48L0%0.0
2-13Houston Baptist (224.0)SlndH80-68W100%0.0
2-15Abilene Christian (321.0)SlndA71-84W100%0.0
2-20Central Arkansas (339.0)SlndH105-75W100%0.0
2-27Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndH70-75L0%0.0
2-29Central Arkansas (339.0)SlndA73-83W100%0.0
3-3Lamar (337.0)SlndH94-76W100%0.0
3-5Stephen F. Austin (61.0)SlndH64-85L0%0.0
3-10Nicholls St. (313.0)SlndN60-59W100%0.0
3-11Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndN79-76L0%0.0