Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Sam Houston St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Sam Houston St.

Conference:Slnd
Expected RPI:74.5
Current RPI:77
Expected SOS:211
Current Record:20-7
Expected Record:21-7
Current Conf Record:16-2
Expected Conf Record:17-2
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-0
Probability of Auto Bid:67.40%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:10-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-2
Current OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC RPI:157
Expected OOC SOS:147


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-775.00%71.267.40%
20-871.43%81.332.60%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Sam Houston St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-19Kentucky (2.8)SECA92-102L0%0.0
11-21Cleveland St. (166.0)HorzA65-80L0%0.0
11-24Oral Roberts (124.3)SumN71-65W100%0.0
11-25Rider (140.8)MAACN80-68W100%0.0
12-5Louisiana Lafayette (245.4)SBH85-95L0%0.0
12-20Auburn (156.5)SECA107-89W100%0.0
12-22Florida International (296.0)SBH93-63W100%0.0
12-28Wright St. (80.6)HorzA48-88L0%0.0
1-3Western Michigan (149.7)MACA73-74L0%0.0
1-9Stephen F. Austin (143.1)SlndH66-57W100%0.0
1-16Southeastern Louisiana (193.0)SlndA84-79W100%0.0
1-20Texas St. (242.5)SlndH95-64W100%0.0
1-23Texas Arlington (234.2)SlndA67-64W100%0.0
1-27Lamar (292.7)SlndH90-63W100%0.0
1-30Texas A&M Corpus Chris (168.4)SlndA70-58W100%0.0
2-3Texas San Antonio (186.6)SlndH73-67W100%0.0
2-6Central Arkansas (320.1)SlndH75-70W100%0.0
2-10Nicholls St. (277.4)SlndA75-69W100%0.0
2-13Texas A&M Corpus Chris (168.4)SlndH90-74W100%0.0
2-17Lamar (292.7)SlndA66-54W100%0.0
2-20Texas San Antonio (186.6)SlndA90-91L0%0.0
2-24McNeese St. (314.8)SlndH74-56W100%0.0
2-27Texas Arlington (234.2)SlndH94-69W100%0.0
3-3Northwestern St. (312.3)SlndA103-75W100%0.0
3-6Texas St. (242.5)SlndA97-101L0%0.0
3-10Nicholls St. (277.4)SlndN62-57W100%0.0
3-11Southeastern Louisiana (193.0)SlndN88-85W100%0.0