- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Saint Louis

Expected RPI:206.0
Current RPI:206
Expected SOS:85
Current Record:11-21
Expected Record:11-21
Current Conf Record:6-14
Expected Conf Record:6-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-3
Current OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC RPI:245
Expected OOC SOS:172


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Saint Louis.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Hartford (292.0)AEH85-68W100%0.0
11-18SIU Edwardsville (305.0)OVCA60-70W100%0.0
11-21St. Francis NY (276.0)NECH76-60W100%0.0
11-24North Florida (161.0)ASunH70-57W100%0.0
11-28Louisville (17.0)ACCN77-57L0%0.0
12-2Morehead St. (127.0)OVCH46-60L0%0.0
12-5Wichita St. (47.0)MVCH53-68L0%0.0
12-12Alabama A&M (332.0)SWACH75-58W100%0.0
12-16Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCH76-82L0%0.0
12-19Indiana St. (172.0)MVCH68-76L0%0.0
12-21Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCH52-65L0%0.0
12-29Kansas St. (92.0)B12A75-47L0%0.0
1-2Rhode Island (119.0)A10A85-57L0%0.0
1-6George Washington (68.0)A10H65-62W100%0.0
1-10VCU (37.0)A10H56-72L0%0.0
1-13Duquesne (162.0)A10A81-71L0%0.0
1-17George Mason (201.0)A10H79-92L0%0.0
1-20Davidson (64.0)A10H96-87W100%0.0
1-23Massachusetts (171.0)A10A75-86W100%0.0
1-27Dayton (21.0)A10A73-37L0%0.0
1-30Duquesne (162.0)A10H67-78L0%0.0
2-7St. Bonaventure (30.0)A10A65-62L0%0.0
2-10Richmond (121.0)A10H53-67L0%0.0
2-13VCU (37.0)A10A85-52L0%0.0
2-17George Mason (201.0)A10A77-79W100%0.0
2-20Fordham (176.0)A10H76-68W100%0.0
2-23Dayton (21.0)A10H49-52L0%0.0
2-28Saint Joseph's (22.0)A10A77-63L0%0.0
3-2La Salle (232.0)A10A76-68L0%0.0
3-5St. Bonaventure (30.0)A10H67-76L0%0.0
3-9George Mason (201.0)A10N78-83W100%0.0
3-10George Washington (68.0)A10N73-65L0%0.0