Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Sacred Heart   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Sacred Heart

Conference:NEC
Expected RPI:262.1
Current RPI:262
Expected SOS:334
Current Record:14-15
Expected Record:14-15
Current Conf Record:5-11
Expected Conf Record:5-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-7
Current OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC RPI:172
Expected OOC SOS:346


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1548.28%262.1100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Sacred Heart.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Yale (267.0)IvyN92-86W100%0.0
11-15Lafayette (209.5)PatH81-70W100%0.0
11-18Fordham (306.4)A10A66-76L0%0.0
11-21Xavier (16.9)A10A65-105L0%0.0
11-25Penn St. (194.0)B10A75-87L0%0.0
11-30Columbia (251.3)IvyH60-55W100%0.0
12-5Monmouth (288.9)NECH81-73W100%0.0
12-11Hartford (304.5)AEA76-65W100%0.0
12-13Fairfield (81.0)MAACA77-93L0%0.0
12-21Stony Brook (141.4)AEH78-70W100%0.0
12-22Holy Cross (272.4)PatA82-79W100%0.0
12-30Brown (256.6)IvyH83-78W100%0.0
1-2Fairleigh Dickinson (270.7)NECA85-88L0%0.0
1-7Wagner (332.0)NECH75-59W100%0.0
1-9Mount St. Mary's (171.3)NECH65-69L0%0.0
1-14Bryant (345.2)indA72-60W100%0.0
1-16Central Connecticut (309.1)NECA65-88L0%0.0
1-21Central Connecticut (309.1)NECH71-53W100%0.0
1-23Bryant (345.2)indH84-60W100%0.0
1-28Mount St. Mary's (171.3)NECA52-64L0%0.0
1-30Wagner (332.0)NECA73-74L0%0.0
2-4Quinnipiac (146.8)NECH71-86L0%0.0
2-6Quinnipiac (146.8)NECA87-90L0%0.0
2-11Long Island (240.0)NECH75-81L0%0.0
2-13St. Francis NY (294.9)NECH62-50W100%0.0
2-18Robert Morris (128.6)NECA39-64L0%0.0
2-20St. Francis PA (286.7)NECA68-73L0%0.0
2-25Fairleigh Dickinson (270.7)NECH59-64L0%0.0
2-27Monmouth (288.9)NECA68-63W100%0.0