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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Sacramento St.

Conference:BSky
Expected RPI:305.3
Current RPI:313
Expected SOS:319
Current Record:6-14
Expected Record:9-17
Current Conf Record:3-8
Expected Conf Record:5-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-9
Current OOC Record:3-6
Expected OOC Record:4-6
Expected OOC RPI:318
Expected OOC SOS:332


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1548.28%235.00.01%
13-1546.43%256.80.23%
12-1446.15%268.00.01%
13-1644.83%233.40.08%
12-1544.44%275.90.20%
12-1642.86%264.81.01%
11-1542.31%283.01.15%
12-1741.38%249.50.08%
11-1640.74%285.62.32%
11-1739.29%276.71.07%
10-1638.46%293.713.80%
11-1837.93%260.00.03%
10-1737.04%295.72.54%
10-1835.71%287.50.22%
9-1734.62%302.931.36%
9-1833.33%305.30.56%
8-1830.77%311.529.62%
7-1926.92%319.913.33%
6-2023.08%327.32.37%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Sacramento St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Central Arkansas (299.9)SlndH75-54W100%0.0
11-17Washington St. (168.5)P12A79-68L0%0.0
11-22UC Davis (342.3)BWA61-69W100%0.0
11-26McNeese St. (207.5)SlndH63-68L0%0.0
11-30Cal Poly (182.0)BWA77-51L0%0.0
12-2Oklahoma (99.1)B12A82-53L0%0.0
12-7Cal St. Bakersfield (215.3)indA63-60L0%0.0
12-18North Dakota (250.8)GWCH75-64W100%0.0
12-22Southeast Missouri St. (236.6)OVCH76-77L0%0.0
12-29Northern Arizona (329.4)BSkyA73-64L0%0.0
12-31Weber St. (78.7)BSkyA74-63L0%0.0
1-7Northern Colorado (253.4)BSkyH53-61L0%0.0
1-12Eastern Washington (207.3)BSkyH60-65L0%0.0
1-14Idaho St. (266.1)BSkyH67-68L0%0.0
1-19Montana St. (262.2)BSkyA72-65L0%0.0
1-21Montana (96.9)BSkyA85-56L0%0.0
1-26Weber St. (78.7)BSkyH60-75L0%0.0
1-28Northern Arizona (329.4)BSkyH77-43W100%0.0
2-2Northern Colorado (253.4)BSkyA62-73W100%0.0
2-4Eastern Washington (207.3)BSkyA71-75W100%0.0
2-9Montana St. (262.2)BSkyH0-066%4.4
2-11Montana (96.9)BSkyH0-020%-9.3
2-15Portland St. (206.9)BSkyA0-024%-7.5
2-18San Jose St. (278.3)WACH0-062%3.3
2-23Portland St. (206.9)BSkyH0-046%-1.0
2-25Idaho St. (266.1)BSkyA0-046%-1.2