- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Sacramento St.

Expected RPI:273.0
Current RPI:273
Expected SOS:296
Current Record:12-17
Expected Record:12-17
Current Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-11
Current OOC Record:5-4
Expected OOC Record:5-4
Expected OOC RPI:211
Expected OOC SOS:325


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Sacramento St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Arizona St. (99.0)P12A63-66W100%0.0
11-15Seattle (287.0)WACA65-77W100%0.0
11-24UC Davis (281.0)BWH84-79W100%0.0
11-28South Dakota (197.0)SumH90-96L0%0.0
11-29Pacific (268.0)WCCH79-71W100%0.0
12-2UC Davis (281.0)BWA66-61L0%0.0
12-7Incarnate Word (163.0)SlndH73-70W100%0.0
12-12Portland (249.0)WCCA81-73L0%0.0
12-21Stanford (86.0)P12A70-60L0%0.0
1-2Portland St. (282.0)BSkyA76-68L0%0.0
1-7Montana St. (260.0)BSkyA71-64L0%0.0
1-9Montana (145.0)BSkyA77-58L0%0.0
1-14Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyH82-71W100%0.0
1-16Weber St. (108.0)BSkyH74-85L0%0.0
1-23Portland St. (282.0)BSkyH63-81L0%0.0
1-28Idaho (191.0)BSkyA63-65W100%0.0
1-30Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyA74-67L0%0.0
2-4Montana (145.0)BSkyH83-79W100%0.0
2-6Montana St. (260.0)BSkyH76-79L0%0.0
2-11Weber St. (108.0)BSkyA63-50L0%0.0
2-13Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyA66-64L0%0.0
2-18Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyH88-93L0%0.0
2-20Idaho (191.0)BSkyH68-65W100%0.0
2-25Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyA72-67L0%0.0
2-27North Dakota (218.0)BSkyA97-71L0%0.0
3-3Southern Utah (336.0)BSkyH69-63W100%0.0
3-5Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyH64-51W100%0.0
3-8Montana St. (260.0)BSkyN75-79W100%0.0
3-10Montana (145.0)BSkyN70-53L0%0.0