Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  SIU Edwardsville   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

SIU Edwardsville

Conference:OVC
Expected RPI:321.4
Current RPI:322
Expected SOS:219
Current Record:3-23
Expected Record:3-23
Current Conf Record:0-5
Expected Conf Record:0-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:2-15
Current OOC Record:3-18
Expected OOC Record:3-18
Expected OOC RPI:312
Expected OOC SOS:244


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
3-2311.54%321.4100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for SIU Edwardsville.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Illinois (71.9)B10A69-96L0%0.0
11-15Illinois St. (75.7)MVCH60-82L0%0.0
11-18Evansville (249.4)MVCA46-76L0%0.0
11-21Ball St. (218.5)MACA47-57L0%0.0
11-28Lipscomb (205.6)ASunH64-67L0%0.0
12-1IUPU Fort Wayne (225.3)SumH64-69L0%0.0
12-4Drake (180.1)MVCA60-58W100%0.0
12-5Texas Arlington (234.2)SlndN71-67W100%0.0
12-10Lipscomb (205.6)ASunA74-94L0%0.0
12-13Middle Tennessee (178.3)SBA58-83L0%0.0
12-20Loyola Chicago (213.2)HorzH61-79L0%0.0
12-22Purdue (12.0)B10A63-90L0%0.0
12-28Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumH54-63L0%0.0
12-30Murray St. (54.4)OVCH51-82L0%0.0
1-5Wisconsin Milwaukee (130.6)HorzH73-83L0%0.0
1-9South Dakota (216.8)GWCA76-100L0%0.0
1-12Kennesaw St. (284.0)ASunA60-71L0%0.0
1-19Morehead St. (84.2)OVCA46-66L0%0.0
1-25Tennessee Martin (338.0)OVCA52-68L0%0.0
1-27Murray St. (54.4)OVCA51-84L0%0.0
2-2Southeast Missouri St. (312.9)OVCA49-68L0%0.0
2-5South Dakota (216.8)GWCH69-91L0%0.0
2-7North Dakota (339.3)GWCH50-57L0%0.0
2-18North Dakota (339.3)GWCA91-76W100%0.0
2-20Cal St. Fullerton (205.2)BWA74-78L0%0.0
2-23IUPU Fort Wayne (225.3)SumA40-78L0%0.0