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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

SIU Edwardsville

Conference:OVC
Expected RPI:300.0
Current RPI:300
Expected SOS:297
Current Record:8-17
Expected Record:8-17
Current Conf Record:6-10
Expected Conf Record:6-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-9
Current OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC RPI:338
Expected OOC SOS:333


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
8-1732.00%300.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for SIU Edwardsville.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Illinois (92.0)B10A66-46L0%0.0
11-17Illinois St. (100.0)MVCA68-38L0%0.0
11-22Lipscomb (225.0)ASunN90-87L0%0.0
11-23Hampton (306.0)MEACN68-64L0%0.0
12-3Cal St. Fullerton (157.0)BWH57-79L0%0.0
12-6Ball St. (256.0)MACH55-76L0%0.0
12-19Southern Illinois (255.0)MVCA80-57L0%0.0
12-29Tennessee Tech (138.0)OVCH83-68W100%0.0
12-31Jacksonville St. (216.0)OVCH66-61W100%0.0
1-4Eastern Illinois (285.0)OVCH59-73L0%0.0
1-7Tennessee Martin (326.0)OVCA65-69W100%0.0
1-12Southeast Missouri St. (248.0)OVCA85-68L0%0.0
1-14Tennessee St. (107.0)OVCA52-49L0%0.0
1-19Austin Peay (193.0)OVCH67-80L0%0.0
1-21Murray St. (22.0)OVCH65-82L0%0.0
1-28Jacksonville St. (216.0)OVCA76-65L0%0.0
1-30Tennessee Tech (138.0)OVCA98-80L0%0.0
2-2Morehead St. (166.0)OVCH61-53W100%0.0
2-4Eastern Kentucky (226.0)OVCH80-74W100%0.0
2-11Southeast Missouri St. (248.0)OVCH72-85L0%0.0
2-15Eastern Illinois (285.0)OVCA73-66L0%0.0
2-18Northern Illinois (334.0)MACH64-62W100%0.0
2-23Eastern Kentucky (226.0)OVCA58-63W100%0.0
2-25Morehead St. (166.0)OVCA76-61L0%0.0
2-29Chicago St. (336.0)GWCA70-81W100%0.0