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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

SIU Edwardsville

Expected RPI:305.0
Current RPI:305
Expected SOS:202
Current Record:6-22
Expected Record:6-22
Current Conf Record:3-13
Expected Conf Record:3-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-7
Current OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC RPI:239
Expected OOC SOS:84


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for SIU Edwardsville.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Arkansas St. (285.0)SBH79-70W100%0.0
11-18Saint Louis (206.0)A10H60-70L0%0.0
11-21IPFW (71.0)SumA87-67L0%0.0
11-24Campbell (308.0)BSthH74-77L0%0.0
11-28Butler (57.0)BEA89-73L0%0.0
11-30Green Bay (112.0)HorzH69-87L0%0.0
12-3Milwaukee (173.0)HorzA64-51L0%0.0
12-5Northwestern (115.0)B10A81-56L0%0.0
12-9Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCA74-76W100%0.0
12-12Portland St. (282.0)BSkyH74-64W100%0.0
12-21USC (51.0)P12A70-51L0%0.0
12-28Grand Canyon (91.0)WACH75-86L0%0.0
12-31Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCA72-67L0%0.0
1-2Tennessee Tech (134.0)OVCA86-63L0%0.0
1-6Belmont (98.0)OVCH77-85L0%0.0
1-9Tennessee St. (152.0)OVCA63-60L0%0.0
1-14Morehead St. (127.0)OVCH67-70L0%0.0
1-16Eastern Kentucky (211.0)OVCH67-65W100%0.0
1-21Austin Peay (184.0)OVCA90-86L0%0.0
1-23Murray St. (169.0)OVCA70-54L0%0.0
1-28Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCH51-58L0%0.0
1-30Eastern Illinois (271.0)OVCH46-60L0%0.0
2-6Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCH62-79L0%0.0
2-11Murray St. (169.0)OVCH64-70L0%0.0
2-13Eastern Illinois (271.0)OVCA64-72W100%0.0
2-18Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCA69-72W100%0.0
2-20Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCA68-51L0%0.0
2-25Austin Peay (184.0)OVCH75-80L0%0.0