live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Robert Morris

Conference:NEC
Expected RPI:99.0
Current RPI:99
Expected SOS:228
Current Record:24-10
Expected Record:24-10
Current Conf Record:15-6
Expected Conf Record:15-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:16-2
Current OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC Record:9-4
Expected OOC RPI:48
Expected OOC SOS:111


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
24-1070.59%99.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Robert Morris.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Rider (199.0)MAACH83-57W100%0.0
11-15St. Peter's (305.0)MAACA52-69W100%0.0
11-19Pennsylvania (98.0)IvyA66-60L0%0.0
11-22James Madison (261.0)CAAA77-82W100%0.0
11-25La Salle (90.0)A10A44-51W100%0.0
11-27Pittsburgh (96.0)BEA81-71L0%0.0
12-1Fairleigh Dickinson (330.0)NECH66-54W100%0.0
12-3Monmouth (236.0)NECH69-51W100%0.0
12-6Duquesne (109.0)A10A60-64W100%0.0
12-8Cleveland St. (85.0)HorzH58-62L0%0.0
12-17Louisiana Lafayette (185.0)SBH72-64W100%0.0
12-20Hampton (306.0)MEACH64-54W100%0.0
12-22Youngstown St. (170.0)HorzA56-59W100%0.0
12-29Memphis (16.0)CUSAA64-47L0%0.0
1-2Ohio (47.0)MACA67-70W100%0.0
1-5Bryant (340.0)NECA53-84W100%0.0
1-7Central Connecticut (227.0)NECA68-53L0%0.0
1-12Quinnipiac (155.0)NECH76-78L0%0.0
1-14Sacred Heart (237.0)NECH70-67W100%0.0
1-19Fairleigh Dickinson (330.0)NECA55-67W100%0.0
1-21Monmouth (236.0)NECA73-81W100%0.0
1-26Long Island (80.0)NECH75-66W100%0.0
1-28St. Francis NY (210.0)NECH68-81L0%0.0
2-2Wagner (93.0)NECA80-69L0%0.0
2-4Mount St. Mary's (292.0)NECA62-67W100%0.0
2-8St. Francis PA (312.0)NECA74-78W100%0.0
2-11St. Francis PA (312.0)NECH70-56W100%0.0
2-16Bryant (340.0)NECH69-40W100%0.0
2-18Central Connecticut (227.0)NECH68-60W100%0.0
2-23Sacred Heart (237.0)NECA53-55W100%0.0
2-25Quinnipiac (155.0)NECA73-69L0%0.0
3-1Monmouth (236.0)NECH87-68W100%0.0
3-4Wagner (93.0)NECA64-71W100%0.0
3-7Long Island (80.0)NECA90-73L0%0.0