Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Robert Morris   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Robert Morris

Conference:NEC
Expected RPI:128.6
Current RPI:128
Expected SOS:261
Current Record:23-11
Expected Record:23-11
Current Conf Record:17-3
Expected Conf Record:17-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:17-2
Current OOC Record:6-8
Expected OOC Record:6-8
Expected OOC RPI:210
Expected OOC SOS:232


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
23-1167.65%128.6100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Robert Morris.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Syracuse (5.0)BEA60-100L0%0.0
11-16Penn St. (194.0)B10A61-80L0%0.0
11-20Detroit (167.4)HorzN59-71L0%0.0
11-21Alcorn St. (345.5)SWACN107-76W100%0.0
11-22Albany (301.3)AEA66-71L0%0.0
12-3Mount St. Mary's (171.3)NECH63-57W100%0.0
12-5Wagner (332.0)NECH73-70W100%0.0
12-12Duquesne (112.6)A10A54-59L0%0.0
12-15Cleveland St. (166.0)HorzA78-70W100%0.0
12-19Appalachian St. (100.4)SCH52-65L0%0.0
12-22Kent St. (46.7)MACH57-71L0%0.0
12-30Youngstown St. (270.5)HorzA72-67W100%0.0
1-2Ohio (99.9)MACH81-79W100%0.0
1-4Morgan St. (102.4)MEACH78-75W100%0.0
1-7Long Island (240.0)NECA64-74L0%0.0
1-9St. Francis NY (294.9)NECA67-63W100%0.0
1-14Fairleigh Dickinson (270.7)NECH80-73W100%0.0
1-16Monmouth (288.9)NECH78-67W100%0.0
1-21Fairleigh Dickinson (270.7)NECA65-50W100%0.0
1-23Monmouth (288.9)NECA66-53W100%0.0
1-28Long Island (240.0)NECH66-58W100%0.0
1-30St. Francis NY (294.9)NECH74-56W100%0.0
2-4St. Francis PA (286.7)NECA76-67W100%0.0
2-6St. Francis PA (286.7)NECH75-63W100%0.0
2-8Pittsburgh (15.8)BEA53-77L0%0.0
2-11Central Connecticut (309.1)NECA69-60W100%0.0
2-13Bryant (345.2)indA52-42W100%0.0
2-18Sacred Heart (262.1)NECH64-39W100%0.0
2-20Quinnipiac (146.8)NECH79-87L0%0.0
2-25Wagner (332.0)NECA76-55W100%0.0
2-27Mount St. Mary's (171.3)NECA61-63L0%0.0
3-4Central Connecticut (309.1)NECH71-63W100%0.0
3-7Mount St. Mary's (171.3)NECH80-62W100%0.0
3-10Quinnipiac (146.8)NECA52-50W100%0.0