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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Rhode Island

Conference:A10
Expected RPI:255.0
Current RPI:244
Expected SOS:86
Current Record:5-19
Expected Record:6-25
Current Conf Record:2-7
Expected Conf Record:3-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-8
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-4
Current OOC Record:3-12
Expected OOC Record:3-12
Expected OOC RPI:277
Expected OOC SOS:141


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
11-2332.35%181.00.01%
10-2231.25%204.90.07%
10-2330.30%199.40.13%
10-2429.41%195.30.03%
9-2229.03%224.00.02%
9-2328.12%220.41.31%
9-2427.27%213.40.48%
9-2526.47%210.90.11%
8-2325.81%234.01.77%
8-2425.00%233.46.34%
8-2524.24%226.70.75%
8-2623.53%218.00.02%
7-2422.58%247.419.69%
7-2521.88%246.89.43%
7-2621.21%238.30.18%
6-2519.35%261.244.03%
6-2618.75%261.22.04%
5-2616.13%271.113.58%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Rhode Island.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11George Mason (90.6)CAAA92-90L0%0.0
11-15Texas (59.0)B12A100-90L0%0.0
11-20Nebraska (136.9)B10A83-63L0%0.0
11-25Hofstra (234.9)CAAH85-73W100%0.0
11-26Boston University (159.1)AEH64-70L0%0.0
11-27Cleveland St. (55.0)HorzH45-67L0%0.0
11-30Brown (307.6)IvyA65-56L0%0.0
12-4Maine (262.1)AEH74-76L0%0.0
12-7Virginia Tech (95.1)ACCH67-78L0%0.0
12-10Georgia St. (110.1)CAAA96-64L0%0.0
12-18Yale (124.9)IvyH65-68L0%0.0
12-23Providence (160.2)BEH61-80L0%0.0
12-29James Madison (249.9)CAAN79-60W100%0.0
12-30Central Florida (77.0)CUSAA65-54L0%0.0
1-2Boston College (250.9)ACCA72-78W100%0.0
1-7Richmond (139.3)A10H53-70L0%0.0
1-11George Washington (201.3)A10A69-61L0%0.0
1-14Duquesne (86.2)A10H71-78L0%0.0
1-18Fordham (248.5)A10A66-64L0%0.0
1-21La Salle (69.7)A10A80-66L0%0.0
1-25St. Bonaventure (99.1)A10H66-72L0%0.0
1-28Dayton (83.7)A10A81-86W100%0.0
2-1Massachusetts (81.2)A10H81-78W100%0.0
2-4Temple (28.6)A10H56-73L0%0.0
2-8Xavier (62.4)A10A0-07%-16.4
2-11Charlotte (143.4)A10A0-017%-10.5
2-15Saint Joseph's (56.7)A10H0-018%-9.8
2-18St. Bonaventure (99.1)A10A0-010%-14.2
2-25St. Louis (28.8)A10H0-07%-16.1
2-29Fordham (248.5)A10H0-072%6.2
3-3Massachusetts (81.2)A10A0-09%-14.7