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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.


Prairie View A&M

Conference:SWAC
Expected RPI:278.7
Current RPI:279
Expected SOS:334
Current Record:7-13
Expected Record:12-18
Current Conf Record:6-4
Expected Conf Record:11-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:6.27%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-9
Current OOC Record:1-9
Expected OOC Record:1-9
Expected OOC RPI:266
Expected OOC SOS:42



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1358.06%175.00.01%
17-1454.84%203.70.29%
16-1453.33%232.30.16%
15-1451.72%243.90.14%
16-1551.61%218.01.60%
15-1550.00%242.91.21%
15-1648.39%235.64.32%
14-1548.28%258.21.67%
14-1646.67%257.24.91%
14-1745.16%252.65.61%
13-1644.83%272.96.39%
13-1743.33%270.010.07%
13-1841.94%268.13.41%
12-1741.38%284.213.07%
12-1840.00%281.610.76%
12-1938.71%280.81.74%
11-1837.93%294.613.88%
11-1936.67%292.45.83%
11-2035.48%292.80.64%
10-1934.48%303.98.61%
10-2033.33%301.61.49%
10-2132.26%301.70.10%
9-2031.03%312.03.19%
9-2130.00%310.40.22%
9-2229.03%308.00.01%
8-2028.57%315.70.03%
8-2127.59%318.90.59%
7-2125.00%326.00.02%
7-2224.14%325.50.02%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Prairie View A&M.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17Florida Gulf Coast (212.7)ASunA68-59L0%0.0
11-20Nevada (62.8)WACA60-47L0%0.0
11-22Brigham Young (41.8)WCCA90-51L0%0.0
11-25Longwood (319.3)indN67-70L0%0.0
11-26Wofford (168.5)SCN49-56L0%0.0
11-29Baylor (9.9)B12A90-54L0%0.0
12-6Iowa St. (53.7)B12A84-59L0%0.0
12-20Stephen F. Austin (246.7)SlndN50-53W100%0.0
12-21Oregon (92.4)P12A74-66L0%0.0
12-22North Carolina Central (212.0)MEACN58-69L0%0.0
1-3Southern (280.2)SWACH65-73L0%0.0
1-5Alcorn St. (330.4)SWACH55-47W100%0.0
1-7Texas Southern (228.4)SWACA84-49L0%0.0
1-14Jackson St. (312.2)SWACA66-72W100%0.0
1-16Grambling (341.9)SWACA64-81W100%0.0
1-21Mississippi Valley St. (143.0)SWACH57-81L0%0.0
1-23Arkansas Pine Bluff (322.7)SWACH76-75W100%0.0
1-28Alabama St. (302.2)SWACA57-64W100%0.0
1-30Alabama A&M (330.8)SWACA64-54L0%0.0
2-4Texas Southern (228.4)SWACH73-67W100%0.0
2-11Jackson St. (312.2)SWACH0-068%5.2
2-13Grambling (341.9)SWACH0-091%14.4
2-18Arkansas Pine Bluff (322.7)SWACA0-045%-1.3
2-20Mississippi Valley St. (143.0)SWACA0-013%-12.1
2-25Alabama A&M (330.8)SWACH0-069%5.5
2-27Alabama St. (302.2)SWACH0-062%3.3
3-1Southern (280.2)SWACA0-036%-3.9
3-3Alcorn St. (330.4)SWACA0-056%1.6