- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Portland St.

Expected RPI:282.0
Current RPI:282
Expected SOS:292
Current Record:11-18
Expected Record:11-18
Current Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-8
Current OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC RPI:339
Expected OOC SOS:338


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Portland St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Grand Canyon (91.0)WACA82-72L0%0.0
11-22UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACA61-79W100%0.0
11-25Nevada (118.0)MWCA76-73L0%0.0
12-2Portland (249.0)WCCH72-78L0%0.0
12-6Washington St. (212.0)P12A91-67L0%0.0
12-12SIU Edwardsville (305.0)OVCA74-64L0%0.0
12-17Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWH71-77L0%0.0
12-22Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACA78-66L0%0.0
12-29Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWH89-82W100%0.0
1-2Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyH76-68W100%0.0
1-7Montana (145.0)BSkyA79-66L0%0.0
1-9Montana St. (260.0)BSkyA70-77W100%0.0
1-14Weber St. (108.0)BSkyH58-73L0%0.0
1-16Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyH70-73L0%0.0
1-23Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyA63-81W100%0.0
1-28Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyA112-83L0%0.0
1-30Idaho (191.0)BSkyA56-55L0%0.0
2-4Montana St. (260.0)BSkyH83-68W100%0.0
2-6Montana (145.0)BSkyH80-82L0%0.0
2-11Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyA88-71L0%0.0
2-13Weber St. (108.0)BSkyA87-78L0%0.0
2-18Idaho (191.0)BSkyH74-80L0%0.0
2-20Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyH107-91W100%0.0
2-25North Dakota (218.0)BSkyA80-77L0%0.0
2-27Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyA86-89W100%0.0
3-3Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyH89-81W100%0.0
3-5Southern Utah (336.0)BSkyH88-86W100%0.0
3-8Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyN74-67W100%0.0
3-10Weber St. (108.0)BSkyN78-74L0%0.0