Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Portland St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Portland St.

Conference:BSky
Expected RPI:221.5
Current RPI:221
Expected SOS:183
Current Record:11-19
Expected Record:11-19
Current Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-3
Current OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC Record:3-9
Expected OOC RPI:223
Expected OOC SOS:119


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
11-1936.67%221.5100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Portland St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Belmont (136.8)ASunN67-74L0%0.0
11-14Wright St. (80.6)HorzN70-75L0%0.0
11-15Washington (46.7)P10A55-111L0%0.0
11-21Cal Poly (255.8)BWH92-83W100%0.0
11-29Stanford (165.1)P10A64-83L0%0.0
12-2Portland (79.9)WCCA86-82W100%0.0
12-5Eastern Washington (277.8)BSkyH98-75W100%0.0
12-13Pepperdine (304.1)WCCA93-81W100%0.0
12-15St. Mary's (35.6)WCCA80-101L0%0.0
12-19Washington St. (162.6)P10N69-93L0%0.0
12-21Boise St. (202.8)WACA62-69L0%0.0
1-2Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyH94-66W100%0.0
1-8Montana St. (200.5)BSkyA71-77L0%0.0
1-9Montana (97.3)BSkyA58-90L0%0.0
1-15Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyH85-69W100%0.0
1-17Northern Arizona (198.2)BSkyH86-93L0%0.0
1-22Weber St. (84.7)BSkyA83-86L0%0.0
1-23Idaho St. (303.8)BSkyA80-88L0%0.0
1-30Eastern Washington (277.8)BSkyA85-77W100%0.0
2-5Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyA76-62W100%0.0
2-7Seattle (191.8)indH77-80L0%0.0
2-12Montana (97.3)BSkyH76-81L0%0.0
2-13Montana St. (200.5)BSkyH71-79L0%0.0
2-18Northern Arizona (198.2)BSkyA85-86L0%0.0
2-20Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyA61-64L0%0.0
2-26Idaho St. (303.8)BSkyH98-63W100%0.0
2-28Weber St. (84.7)BSkyH84-79W100%0.0
3-2Seattle (191.8)indA80-93L0%0.0
3-6Montana St. (200.5)BSkyA68-65W100%0.0
3-9Weber St. (84.7)BSkyA60-69L0%0.0