Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Oregon St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Oregon St.

Conference:P10
Expected RPI:184.8
Current RPI:184
Expected SOS:128
Current Record:14-17
Expected Record:14-17
Current Conf Record:8-11
Expected Conf Record:8-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-2
Current OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC RPI:231
Expected OOC SOS:272


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1745.16%184.8100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Oregon St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Texas A&M Corpus Chris (168.4)SlndN43-67L0%0.0
11-14South Dakota (216.8)GWCN62-47W100%0.0
11-15Texas Tech (71.6)B12A60-64L0%0.0
11-21Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyH63-65L0%0.0
11-28George Washington (149.3)A10A64-57W100%0.0
12-4Colorado (119.2)B12H74-69W100%0.0
12-6Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)indH74-39W100%0.0
12-12Nebraska (148.7)B12A44-50L0%0.0
12-16Illinois Chicago (291.0)HorzA61-63L0%0.0
12-19Mississippi Valley St. (325.7)SWACH76-62W100%0.0
12-23Fresno St. (190.4)WACH73-65W100%0.0
12-31Washington (46.7)P10A70-76L0%0.0
1-2Washington St. (162.6)P10A60-65L0%0.0
1-6Seattle (191.8)indH48-99L0%0.0
1-10Oregon (138.5)P10A64-57W100%0.0
1-14Arizona (95.4)P10H67-64W100%0.0
1-16Arizona St. (63.4)P10H57-66L0%0.0
1-21Stanford (165.1)P10A35-59L0%0.0
1-23California (18.5)P10A61-65L0%0.0
1-28Southern California (110.9)P10H51-45W100%0.0
1-30UCLA (137.1)P10H52-62L0%0.0
2-6Oregon (138.5)P10H62-42W100%0.0
2-11Arizona St. (63.4)P10A46-56L0%0.0
2-13Arizona (95.4)P10A63-55W100%0.0
2-18California (18.5)P10H80-64W100%0.0
2-20Stanford (165.1)P10H55-65L0%0.0
2-25UCLA (137.1)P10A56-65L0%0.0
2-27Southern California (110.9)P10A49-44W100%0.0
3-4Washington St. (162.6)P10H59-55W100%0.0
3-6Washington (46.7)P10H70-82L0%0.0
3-11Washington (46.7)P10N52-59L0%0.0