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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Old Dominion

Expected RPI:140.0
Current RPI:140
Expected SOS:185
Current Record:22-13
Expected Record:22-13
Current Conf Record:15-7
Expected Conf Record:15-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-2
Current OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC Record:7-6
Expected OOC RPI:176
Expected OOC SOS:185


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Old Dominion.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Niagara (315.0)MAACH67-50W100%0.0
11-16Buffalo (90.0)MACH77-58W100%0.0
11-18Morgan St. (327.0)MEACH79-48W100%0.0
11-21Purdue (15.0)B10N39-61L0%0.0
11-22Saint Joseph's (22.0)A10N66-64L0%0.0
11-28VCU (37.0)A10A76-67L0%0.0
12-1William & Mary (67.0)CAAA55-48L0%0.0
12-4Delaware St. (345.0)MEACH82-38W100%0.0
12-12Georgia St. (180.0)SBA68-64L0%0.0
12-16Richmond (121.0)A10A77-61L0%0.0
12-18Maryland Eastern Shore (307.0)MEACH77-47W100%0.0
12-22Rhode Island (119.0)A10H71-65W100%0.0
12-29Norfolk St. (225.0)MEACH68-57W100%0.0
1-2Charlotte (234.0)CUSAH74-65W100%0.0
1-7Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAA53-56W100%0.0
1-9Southern Miss (314.0)CUSAA73-71L0%0.0
1-14UAB (88.0)CUSAH71-72L0%0.0
1-16Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAH61-64L0%0.0
1-21Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAH68-62W100%0.0
1-23Marshall (128.0)CUSAH75-78L0%0.0
1-28Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAA66-78W100%0.0
1-30FIU (270.0)CUSAA60-64W100%0.0
2-6Charlotte (234.0)CUSAA69-74W100%0.0
2-11North Texas (295.0)CUSAH67-47W100%0.0
2-13Rice (279.0)CUSAH66-75L0%0.0
2-18Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAA56-59W100%0.0
2-20Marshall (128.0)CUSAA82-65L0%0.0
2-25UTEP (215.0)CUSAH74-53W100%0.0
2-27UTSA (347.0)CUSAH78-56W100%0.0
3-3North Texas (295.0)CUSAA70-76W100%0.0
3-5Rice (279.0)CUSAA67-74W100%0.0
3-9Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAN72-46W100%0.0
3-10Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAN52-68W100%0.0
3-11Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAN89-77W100%0.0
3-12Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAN55-53L0%0.0