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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Old Dominion

Conference:CAA
Expected RPI:124.0
Current RPI:120
Expected SOS:132
Current Record:15-10
Expected Record:19-14
Current Conf Record:10-3
Expected Conf Record:14-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:7.97%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-0
Current OOC Record:5-7
Expected OOC Record:5-8
Expected OOC RPI:151
Expected OOC SOS:26


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
24-1070.59%58.00.07%
23-1167.65%67.60.92%
22-1166.67%90.60.35%
23-1265.71%70.40.07%
21-1165.62%105.20.16%
22-1264.71%79.73.55%
21-1263.64%100.93.02%
22-1362.86%84.50.68%
20-1262.50%115.52.74%
21-1361.76%93.26.32%
20-1360.61%111.89.30%
21-1460.00%98.31.61%
19-1359.38%126.19.34%
20-1458.82%108.85.65%
19-1457.58%126.713.64%
20-1557.14%111.71.70%
18-1456.25%137.614.54%
19-1555.88%126.14.50%
18-1554.55%145.011.39%
19-1654.29%124.80.37%
17-1553.12%152.25.23%
18-1652.94%140.61.09%
17-1651.52%160.72.90%
18-1751.43%132.50.04%
17-1750.00%150.80.05%
16-1650.00%171.90.50%
16-1748.48%175.80.24%
15-1746.88%193.50.02%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Old Dominion.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Northern Iowa (66.1)MVCH46-63L0%0.0
11-14Long Island (116.2)NECH77-69W100%0.0
11-16Howard (300.1)MEACH53-43W100%0.0
11-19South Florida (103.2)BEN66-68W100%0.0
11-20Kentucky (3.5)SECN62-52L0%0.0
11-23Vermont (155.6)AEH63-65L0%0.0
11-29East Carolina (158.6)CUSAH63-58W100%0.0
12-3Northeastern (165.1)CAAA59-69W100%0.0
12-9Fairfield (133.0)MAACN59-51L0%0.0
12-17Central Florida (77.0)CUSAA61-53L0%0.0
12-20Richmond (139.3)A10A90-82L0%0.0
12-22Virginia Military Inst (263.4)BSthH81-73W100%0.0
12-30Missouri (12.8)B12H68-75L0%0.0
1-2James Madison (249.9)CAAA61-67W100%0.0
1-5George Mason (90.6)CAAH54-63L0%0.0
1-7Towson (305.6)CAAH75-38W100%0.0
1-11Delaware (178.3)CAAA66-68W100%0.0
1-14Hofstra (234.9)CAAH69-61W100%0.0
1-18Towson (305.6)CAAA41-71W100%0.0
1-21Virginia Commonwealth (69.1)CAAA61-48L0%0.0
1-23Northeastern (165.1)CAAH69-57W100%0.0
1-25NC Wilmington (208.3)CAAA48-53W100%0.0
1-28William & Mary (305.0)CAAH68-44W100%0.0
2-2James Madison (249.9)CAAH80-71W100%0.0
2-4George Mason (90.6)CAAA54-50L0%0.0
2-8William & Mary (305.0)CAAA0-086%11.7
2-11Virginia Commonwealth (69.1)CAAH0-044%-1.5
2-14NC Wilmington (208.3)CAAH0-083%10.3
2-18Missouri St. (82.9)MVCA0-021%-9.0
2-22Georgia St. (110.1)CAAA0-026%-7.0
2-25Drexel (70.1)CAAH0-047%-0.7