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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Notre Dame

Expected RPI:31.0
Current RPI:31
Expected SOS:27
Current Record:21-11
Expected Record:21-11
Current Conf Record:12-8
Expected Conf Record:12-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:4-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-0
Current OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC Record:9-3
Expected OOC RPI:60
Expected OOC SOS:73


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Notre Dame.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13St. Francis PA (266.0)NECH87-56W100%0.0
11-17Milwaukee (173.0)HorzH86-78W100%0.0
11-21UMass Lowell (261.0)AEH83-57W100%0.0
11-26Monmouth (52.0)MAACN70-68L0%0.0
11-27Iowa (28.0)B10N62-68W100%0.0
11-29Alabama (73.0)SECN73-74L0%0.0
12-2Illinois (149.0)B10A79-84W100%0.0
12-8Stony Brook (59.0)AEH86-61W100%0.0
12-13Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCH81-61W100%0.0
12-19Indiana (24.0)B10N80-73L0%0.0
12-21Youngstown St. (275.0)HorzH87-78W100%0.0
12-29Liberty (264.0)BSthH73-56W100%0.0
1-2Virginia (3.0)ACCA77-66L0%0.0
1-7Boston College (250.0)ACCA54-82W100%0.0
1-9Pittsburgh (53.0)ACCH82-86L0%0.0
1-13Georgia Tech (69.0)ACCH72-64W100%0.0
1-16Duke (20.0)ACCA91-95W100%0.0
1-20Virginia Tech (89.0)ACCH83-81W100%0.0
1-23Boston College (250.0)ACCH76-49W100%0.0
1-28Syracuse (72.0)ACCA81-66L0%0.0
1-31Wake Forest (159.0)ACCH85-62W100%0.0
2-3Miami FL (9.0)ACCA79-70L0%0.0
2-6North Carolina (5.0)ACCH80-76W100%0.0
2-8Clemson (131.0)ACCA83-89W100%0.0
2-13Louisville (17.0)ACCH71-66W100%0.0
2-20Georgia Tech (69.0)ACCA63-62L0%0.0
2-24Wake Forest (159.0)ACCA58-69W100%0.0
2-27Florida St. (82.0)ACCA77-56L0%0.0
3-2Miami FL (9.0)ACCH50-68L0%0.0
3-5North Carolina St. (123.0)ACCH89-75W100%0.0
3-10Duke (20.0)ACCN84-79W100%0.0
3-11North Carolina (5.0)ACCN78-47L0%0.0