Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Northern Illinois   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Northern Illinois

Conference:MAC
Expected RPI:262.5
Current RPI:261
Expected SOS:213
Current Record:10-20
Expected Record:10-20
Current Conf Record:6-11
Expected Conf Record:6-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-5
Current OOC Record:4-9
Expected OOC Record:4-9
Expected OOC RPI:273
Expected OOC SOS:233


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
10-2033.33%262.5100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northern Illinois.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Northwestern (115.0)B10A55-77L0%0.0
11-17Illinois (71.9)B10A61-80L0%0.0
11-20Tennessee St. (259.6)OVCH85-57W100%0.0
11-22Southeast Missouri St. (312.9)OVCH64-70L0%0.0
11-28Northern Iowa (18.2)MVCA45-52L0%0.0
12-2Bradley (104.6)MVCH49-63L0%0.0
12-15Minnesota (64.6)B10A48-89L0%0.0
12-19Illinois Chicago (291.0)HorzA49-69L0%0.0
12-22Maryland Eastern Shore (307.8)MEACH87-69W100%0.0
12-30Temple (15.6)A10H60-70L0%0.0
1-2North Dakota (339.3)GWCH66-45W100%0.0
1-6Chicago St. (344.3)GWCA99-93W100%0.0
1-9Ball St. (218.5)MACA62-48W100%0.0
1-13Western Michigan (149.7)MACH87-77W100%0.0
1-16Eastern Michigan (201.8)MACH77-69W100%0.0
1-20Toledo (324.5)MACA58-54W100%0.0
1-23Central Michigan (195.1)MACA75-81L0%0.0
1-27Ohio (99.9)MACH84-99L0%0.0
1-30Buffalo (108.3)MACH83-95L0%0.0
2-1Kent St. (46.7)MACA46-76L0%0.0
2-3Akron (84.2)MACA76-90L0%0.0
2-6Miami OH (145.1)MACH69-74L0%0.0
2-10Bowling Green (188.3)MACA69-73L0%0.0
2-13Ball St. (218.5)MACH66-71L0%0.0
2-17Western Michigan (149.7)MACA81-90L0%0.0
2-20Eastern Illinois (170.5)OVCA70-73L0%0.0
2-24Central Michigan (195.1)MACH67-65W100%0.0
2-27Eastern Michigan (201.8)MACA60-66L0%0.0
3-4Toledo (324.5)MACH60-58W100%0.0
3-7Eastern Michigan (201.8)MACA59-65L0%0.0