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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Northern Illinois

Expected RPI:136.0
Current RPI:136
Expected SOS:162
Current Record:17-12
Expected Record:17-12
Current Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Record:10-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-2
Current OOC Record:7-2
Expected OOC Record:7-2
Expected OOC RPI:144
Expected OOC SOS:343


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northern Illinois.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWH83-71W100%0.0
11-14South Dakota (197.0)SumH72-65W100%0.0
11-15Wright St. (146.0)HorzH65-59W100%0.0
11-28Idaho (191.0)BSkyA59-66W100%0.0
12-2Chicago St. (348.0)WACH80-58W100%0.0
12-4Missouri (222.0)SECA78-71L0%0.0
12-16Ohio St. (74.0)B10A67-54L0%0.0
12-19FIU (270.0)CUSAH78-75W100%0.0
12-29Illinois Chicago (346.0)HorzA65-70W100%0.0
1-6Ohio (81.0)MACH80-69W100%0.0
1-9Eastern Michigan (113.0)MACH80-63W100%0.0
1-12Toledo (182.0)MACA66-71W100%0.0
1-16Western Michigan (202.0)MACA83-69L0%0.0
1-19Central Michigan (156.0)MACH75-70W100%0.0
1-22Toledo (182.0)MACH58-49W100%0.0
1-26Akron (34.0)MACA76-66L0%0.0
1-30Miami OH (195.0)MACA72-59L0%0.0
2-2Buffalo (90.0)MACH78-90L0%0.0
2-6Ohio (81.0)MACA80-69L0%0.0
2-9Kent St. (124.0)MACA75-74L0%0.0
2-13Akron (34.0)MACH80-79W100%0.0
2-16Bowling Green (200.0)MACH71-60W100%0.0
2-19Ball St. (179.0)MACA63-59L0%0.0
2-23Central Michigan (156.0)MACA76-64L0%0.0
2-27Western Michigan (202.0)MACH76-67W100%0.0
3-1Eastern Michigan (113.0)MACA75-71L0%0.0
3-4Ball St. (179.0)MACH80-69W100%0.0
3-7Western Michigan (202.0)MACH56-50W100%0.0
3-10Ohio (81.0)MACN79-62L0%0.0