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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Northern Illinois

Conference:MAC
Expected RPI:333.0
Current RPI:333
Expected SOS:267
Current Record:4-25
Expected Record:4-25
Current Conf Record:3-14
Expected Conf Record:3-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-14
Current OOC Record:1-11
Expected OOC Record:1-11
Expected OOC RPI:343
Expected OOC SOS:301


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
4-2513.79%333.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northern Illinois.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Nebraska Omaha (285.0)SumA77-64L0%0.0
11-13Valparaiso (58.0)HorzA69-46L0%0.0
11-24Loyola Chicago (223.0)HorzH46-53L0%0.0
11-27Illinois Chicago (169.0)HorzH46-58L0%0.0
12-1Dayton (114.0)A10A60-43L0%0.0
12-5SIU Edwardsville (304.0)OVCH65-54W100%0.0
12-7Wisconsin Milwaukee (307.0)HorzA80-73L0%0.0
12-16DePaul (204.0)BEA69-64L0%0.0
12-19Seattle (303.0)WACA75-48L0%0.0
12-22Washington (88.0)P12A67-57L0%0.0
12-29Massachusetts (57.0)A10H59-64L0%0.0
1-9Miami OH (258.0)MACA61-72W100%0.0
1-12Akron (43.0)MACH53-68L0%0.0
1-16Ohio (67.0)MACA81-63L0%0.0
1-19Western Michigan (128.0)MACH34-71L0%0.0
1-23Central Michigan (268.0)MACA61-74W100%0.0
1-26Eastern Michigan (239.0)MACA42-25L0%0.0
1-30Kent St. (131.0)MACH67-65W100%0.0
2-2Toledo (193.0)MACH64-69L0%0.0
2-6Bowling Green (274.0)MACH41-57L0%0.0
2-9Buffalo (215.0)MACA59-54L0%0.0
2-13Ball St. (233.0)MACH52-56L0%0.0
2-16Western Michigan (128.0)MACA66-58L0%0.0
2-23Eastern Illinois (276.0)OVCH47-59L0%0.0
2-27Eastern Michigan (239.0)MACH41-53L0%0.0
3-2Central Michigan (268.0)MACH50-69L0%0.0
3-5Toledo (193.0)MACA70-46L0%0.0
3-9Ball St. (233.0)MACA53-51L0%0.0
3-11Eastern Michigan (239.0)MACA45-44L0%0.0