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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Northern Colorado

Expected RPI:304.0
Current RPI:304
Expected SOS:252
Current Record:8-21
Expected Record:8-21
Current Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-10
Current OOC Record:1-9
Expected OOC Record:1-9
Expected OOC RPI:341
Expected OOC SOS:233


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northern Colorado.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Kansas (1.0)B12A109-72L0%0.0
11-21UMBC (335.0)AEH72-81L0%0.0
11-22Austin Peay (184.0)OVCH76-91L0%0.0
11-25Nebraska Omaha (144.0)SumH85-105L0%0.0
11-29Colorado (35.0)P12A82-52L0%0.0
12-3UC Riverside (267.0)BWA77-66L0%0.0
12-13Colorado St. (181.0)MWCH73-64W100%0.0
12-16Denver (188.0)SumH77-81L0%0.0
12-21Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCA79-76L0%0.0
12-23Mississippi St. (154.0)SECA93-69L0%0.0
12-31Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyH96-90W100%0.0
1-2Idaho (191.0)BSkyH70-75L0%0.0
1-7Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyA83-78L0%0.0
1-9Weber St. (108.0)BSkyA85-68L0%0.0
1-14Montana (145.0)BSkyH66-73L0%0.0
1-16Montana St. (260.0)BSkyH78-76W100%0.0
1-21Southern Utah (336.0)BSkyA80-90W100%0.0
1-23Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyA79-84W100%0.0
1-30North Dakota (218.0)BSkyH71-70W100%0.0
2-4Weber St. (108.0)BSkyH54-64L0%0.0
2-6Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyH57-90L0%0.0
2-11Idaho (191.0)BSkyA73-67L0%0.0
2-13Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyA97-80L0%0.0
2-20North Dakota (218.0)BSkyA74-73L0%0.0
2-25Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyH72-67W100%0.0
2-27Portland St. (282.0)BSkyH86-89L0%0.0
3-3Montana St. (260.0)BSkyA81-63L0%0.0
3-5Montana (145.0)BSkyA72-78W100%0.0
3-8Portland St. (282.0)BSkyN74-67L0%0.0