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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Northern Colorado

Conference:BSky
Expected RPI:257.0
Current RPI:257
Expected SOS:274
Current Record:11-18
Expected Record:11-18
Current Conf Record:11-11
Expected Conf Record:11-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-8
Current OOC Record:0-7
Expected OOC Record:0-7
Expected OOC RPI:324
Expected OOC SOS:113


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
11-1837.93%257.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northern Colorado.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Cal Poly (164.0)BWA64-53L0%0.0
11-21Wyoming (75.0)MWCH60-69L0%0.0
11-26Colorado St. (18.0)MWCA85-69L0%0.0
12-1UC Riverside (338.0)BWA69-63L0%0.0
12-5Northern Iowa (83.0)MVCA76-59L0%0.0
12-8Wichita St. (37.0)MVCA80-54L0%0.0
12-21North Dakota (226.0)BSkyA66-75W100%0.0
12-29Southern Utah (314.0)BSkyA51-50L0%0.0
1-3Weber St. (84.0)BSkyA79-54L0%0.0
1-5Idaho St. (337.0)BSkyA86-63L0%0.0
1-10Montana St. (317.0)BSkyH66-69L0%0.0
1-12Montana (66.0)BSkyH77-85L0%0.0
1-17Portland St. (339.0)BSkyH67-50W100%0.0
1-19Eastern Washington (321.0)BSkyH72-56W100%0.0
1-24Northern Arizona (255.0)BSkyA67-65L0%0.0
1-26Sacramento St. (283.0)BSkyA79-72L0%0.0
1-31Idaho St. (337.0)BSkyH78-63W100%0.0
2-2Weber St. (84.0)BSkyH64-85L0%0.0
2-7Montana (66.0)BSkyA73-63L0%0.0
2-9Montana St. (317.0)BSkyA72-85W100%0.0
2-14Northern Arizona (255.0)BSkyH76-68W100%0.0
2-16Sacramento St. (283.0)BSkyH78-64W100%0.0
2-20North Dakota (226.0)BSkyH62-64L0%0.0
2-23UC Davis (234.0)BWA79-78L0%0.0
2-28Eastern Washington (321.0)BSkyA80-88W100%0.0
3-2Portland St. (339.0)BSkyA75-85W100%0.0
3-7Southern Utah (314.0)BSkyH66-58W100%0.0
3-14Montana St. (317.0)BSkyN56-69W100%0.0
3-15Montana (66.0)BSkyA70-56L0%0.0