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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

North Texas

Expected RPI:295.0
Current RPI:295
Expected SOS:231
Current Record:10-20
Expected Record:10-20
Current Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Record:7-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-6
Current OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC RPI:315
Expected OOC SOS:222


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Texas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-23Idaho (191.0)BSkyH63-65L0%0.0
11-24Samford (252.0)SCH72-74L0%0.0
11-25Troy (293.0)SBH74-86L0%0.0
11-30Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCA93-70L0%0.0
12-3UT Arlington (105.0)SBA90-67L0%0.0
12-5Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCH63-95L0%0.0
12-12Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCA74-66L0%0.0
12-14Nicholls St. (313.0)SlndH78-60W100%0.0
12-17Mississippi Valley St. (330.0)SWACH87-74W100%0.0
12-21Creighton (100.0)BEA105-82L0%0.0
12-29Sam Houston St. (178.0)SlndH69-64W100%0.0
1-1UTSA (347.0)CUSAA66-70W100%0.0
1-3UTEP (215.0)CUSAA84-75L0%0.0
1-9Rice (279.0)CUSAH85-74W100%0.0
1-14Marshall (128.0)CUSAH78-97L0%0.0
1-16Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAH76-81L0%0.0
1-21Middle Tennessee (78.0)CUSAA86-64L0%0.0
1-23UAB (88.0)CUSAA78-57L0%0.0
1-30Rice (279.0)CUSAA95-87L0%0.0
2-4Southern Miss (314.0)CUSAH70-54W100%0.0
2-6Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAH80-69W100%0.0
2-11Old Dominion (140.0)CUSAA67-47L0%0.0
2-13Charlotte (234.0)CUSAA103-79L0%0.0
2-18FIU (270.0)CUSAH77-75W100%0.0
2-20Florida Atlantic (300.0)CUSAH70-62W100%0.0
2-25Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAA73-62L0%0.0
2-27Southern Miss (314.0)CUSAA81-70L0%0.0
3-3Old Dominion (140.0)CUSAH70-76L0%0.0
3-5Charlotte (234.0)CUSAH80-77W100%0.0
3-9Western Kentucky (153.0)CUSAN84-76L0%0.0