Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  North Texas   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 11, 2010.

North Texas

Conference:SB
Expected RPI:101.9
Current RPI:101
Expected SOS:270
Current Record:22-8
Expected Record:22-8
Current Conf Record:16-5
Expected Conf Record:16-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-5
Current OOC Record:6-3
Expected OOC Record:6-3
Expected OOC RPI:65
Expected OOC SOS:164


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
22-873.33%101.9100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Texas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-18Texas Arlington (234.4)SlndA101-99W100%0.0
11-21Oklahoma St. (29.8)B12A68-82L0%0.0
11-24Jackson St. (197.1)SWACH68-58W100%0.0
11-28Boise St. (204.2)WACA73-79L0%0.0
12-5Rice (311.0)CUSAA64-62W100%0.0
12-7Texas A&M (13.8)B12A65-75L0%0.0
12-13Louisiana Monroe (272.7)SBH79-62W100%0.0
12-20Florida International (296.0)SBH70-80L0%0.0
12-22Southeastern Louisiana (192.9)SlndH71-61W100%0.0
12-28Texas Southern (224.0)SWACH71-69W100%0.0
12-31Arkansas Little Rock (299.1)SBA83-78W100%0.0
1-2Arkansas St. (202.1)SBA56-71L0%0.0
1-7Louisiana Lafayette (243.3)SBA72-74L0%0.0
1-9New Orleans (323.4)SBH71-57W100%0.0
1-14Troy (109.8)SBA75-72W100%0.0
1-16Arkansas St. (202.1)SBH70-83L0%0.0
1-21South Alabama (208.3)SBH86-78W100%0.0
1-28Western Kentucky (134.2)SBA84-83W100%0.0
1-30Middle Tennessee (180.1)SBA64-69L0%0.0
2-4Florida Atlantic (216.0)SBH86-69W100%0.0
2-6Florida International (296.0)SBA68-66W100%0.0
2-11New Orleans (323.4)SBA68-46W100%0.0
2-13Denver (164.3)SBH64-59W100%0.0
2-15Houston Baptist (329.9)GWCA107-87W100%0.0
2-20Arkansas Little Rock (299.1)SBH83-65W100%0.0
2-25Louisiana Lafayette (243.3)SBH65-57W100%0.0
2-27Louisiana Monroe (272.7)SBA74-71W100%0.0
3-7Louisiana Monroe (272.7)SBN69-66W100%0.0
3-8Denver (164.3)SBN63-56W100%0.0
3-9Troy (109.8)SBN66-63W100%0.0