Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  North Florida   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

North Florida

Conference:ASun
Expected RPI:236.1
Current RPI:237
Expected SOS:244
Current Record:12-18
Expected Record:12-18
Current Conf Record:8-13
Expected Conf Record:8-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-5
Current OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC RPI:143
Expected OOC SOS:149


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-1840.00%236.1100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Florida.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Notre Dame (48.1)BEA65-86L0%0.0
11-18Savannah St. (316.0)indH57-46W100%0.0
11-21Illinois St. (75.7)MVCA55-71L0%0.0
11-27Campbell (183.2)ASunA58-59L0%0.0
11-29East Tennessee St. (121.0)ASunA56-82L0%0.0
12-2Alabama (100.5)SECA51-73L0%0.0
12-16Northwestern (115.0)B10A54-84L0%0.0
12-19Marquette (49.5)BEA51-78L0%0.0
12-21Canisius (205.0)MAACN65-61W100%0.0
12-22New Orleans (323.2)SBN64-49W100%0.0
12-23Southern Mississippi (112.8)CUSAN53-46W100%0.0
1-2Kennesaw St. (284.0)ASunH66-60W100%0.0
1-4Mercer (220.1)ASunH79-84L0%0.0
1-8Florida Gulf Coast (321.3)ASunA62-56W100%0.0
1-10Stetson (326.9)ASunA54-44W100%0.0
1-14Belmont (136.8)ASunH45-43W100%0.0
1-16Lipscomb (205.6)ASunH55-79L0%0.0
1-18Jacksonville (142.7)ASunA55-62L0%0.0
1-21South Carolina Upstate (306.2)ASunH50-64L0%0.0
1-27South Carolina Upstate (306.2)ASunA55-53W100%0.0
1-29Jacksonville (142.7)ASunH61-73L0%0.0
2-5Lipscomb (205.6)ASunA72-70W100%0.0
2-7Belmont (136.8)ASunA56-70L0%0.0
2-11Stetson (326.9)ASunH60-71L0%0.0
2-13Florida Gulf Coast (321.3)ASunH68-65W100%0.0
2-18Mercer (220.1)ASunA67-77L0%0.0
2-20Kennesaw St. (284.0)ASunA66-60W100%0.0
2-25East Tennessee St. (121.0)ASunH46-61L0%0.0
2-27Campbell (183.2)ASunH49-57L0%0.0
3-3Jacksonville (142.7)ASunN69-76L0%0.0