Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  North Dakota   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

North Dakota

Conference:GWC
Expected RPI:339.3
Current RPI:339
Expected SOS:339
Current Record:6-22
Expected Record:6-22
Current Conf Record:5-8
Expected Conf Record:5-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-14
Current OOC Record:1-14
Expected OOC Record:1-14
Expected OOC RPI:330
Expected OOC SOS:263


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
6-2221.43%339.3100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Dakota.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Montana (97.3)BSkyA37-61L0%0.0
11-14Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCN60-83L0%0.0
11-15Boise St. (202.8)WACN60-75L0%0.0
11-21Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumH63-70L0%0.0
11-27Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyH63-70L0%0.0
11-29Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)HorzH41-67L0%0.0
12-4Texas Arlington (234.2)SlndN65-75L0%0.0
12-5Drake (180.1)MVCA63-72L0%0.0
12-12IUPU Fort Wayne (225.3)SumA52-73L0%0.0
12-19Northern Iowa (18.2)MVCH41-64L0%0.0
12-22Iowa St. (122.8)B12A52-83L0%0.0
1-2Northern Illinois (262.5)MACA45-66L0%0.0
1-5Texas A&M (13.7)B12A41-82L0%0.0
1-14Utah Valley (342.0)GWCA67-62W100%0.0
1-16South Dakota (216.8)GWCA64-74L0%0.0
1-23South Dakota (216.8)GWCH64-82L0%0.0
1-28Texas Pan American (336.0)GWCA78-74W100%0.0
1-30Houston Baptist (326.8)GWCA65-75L0%0.0
2-7SIU Edwardsville (321.4)OVCA57-50W100%0.0
2-13Chicago St. (344.3)GWCH74-60W100%0.0
2-18SIU Edwardsville (321.4)OVCH76-91L0%0.0
2-20Utah Valley (342.0)GWCH74-58W100%0.0
2-23NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)GWCH90-78W100%0.0
2-25Chicago St. (344.3)GWCA61-71L0%0.0
2-28NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)GWCA73-91L0%0.0
3-4Houston Baptist (326.8)GWCH81-91L0%0.0
3-6Texas Pan American (336.0)GWCH68-71L0%0.0
3-10NJ Inst of Technology (341.0)GWCN57-70L0%0.0