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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

North Dakota

Expected RPI:218.0
Current RPI:218
Expected SOS:261
Current Record:14-15
Expected Record:14-15
Current Conf Record:12-9
Expected Conf Record:12-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-5
Current OOC Record:2-6
Expected OOC Record:2-6
Expected OOC RPI:276
Expected OOC SOS:238


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Dakota.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17Wisconsin (43.0)B10A78-64L0%0.0
11-21Bowling Green (200.0)MACN59-77W100%0.0
11-22Florida Gulf Coast (209.0)ASunA73-60L0%0.0
11-23Youngstown St. (275.0)HorzN69-79L0%0.0
11-28Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCH51-97L0%0.0
12-5Bradley (306.0)MVCA59-65W100%0.0
12-11North Dakota St. (120.0)SumH67-69L0%0.0
12-22Kansas St. (92.0)B12A63-49L0%0.0
12-31Idaho (191.0)BSkyH71-74L0%0.0
1-2Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyH79-71W100%0.0
1-7Weber St. (108.0)BSkyA74-62L0%0.0
1-9Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyA76-84W100%0.0
1-14Montana St. (260.0)BSkyH85-68W100%0.0
1-16Montana (145.0)BSkyH61-65L0%0.0
1-21Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyA59-101W100%0.0
1-23Southern Utah (336.0)BSkyA72-88W100%0.0
1-30Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyA71-70L0%0.0
2-4Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyH76-60W100%0.0
2-6Weber St. (108.0)BSkyH78-71W100%0.0
2-11Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyA95-85L0%0.0
2-13Idaho (191.0)BSkyA65-64L0%0.0
2-20Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyH74-73W100%0.0
2-25Portland St. (282.0)BSkyH80-77W100%0.0
2-27Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyH97-71W100%0.0
3-3Montana (145.0)BSkyA71-46L0%0.0
3-5Montana St. (260.0)BSkyA89-82L0%0.0
3-8Southern Utah (336.0)BSkyN85-80W100%0.0
3-10Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyN49-83W100%0.0
3-11Weber St. (108.0)BSkyN83-78L0%0.0