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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

North Dakota St.

Expected RPI:120.0
Current RPI:120
Expected SOS:180
Current Record:18-13
Expected Record:18-13
Current Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-1
Current OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC RPI:140
Expected OOC SOS:315


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Dakota St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13UC Davis (281.0)BWA71-79W100%0.0
11-15Illinois (149.0)B10A80-74L0%0.0
11-25Montana (145.0)BSkyH73-53W100%0.0
11-28North Carolina A&T (340.0)MEACH77-56W100%0.0
12-1Iowa St. (23.0)B12A84-64L0%0.0
12-4Arkansas St. (285.0)SBA73-74W100%0.0
12-6Southern Miss (314.0)CUSAA74-62L0%0.0
12-11North Dakota (218.0)BSkyA67-69W100%0.0
12-16Montana St. (260.0)BSkyH73-64W100%0.0
12-21Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyN62-67W100%0.0
12-22UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACN68-50W100%0.0
12-23Utah St. (151.0)MWCA76-62L0%0.0
1-3Denver (188.0)SumH75-49W100%0.0
1-7Nebraska Omaha (144.0)SumH82-91L0%0.0
1-9Oral Roberts (148.0)SumA66-65L0%0.0
1-13South Dakota (197.0)SumH66-65W100%0.0
1-16South Dakota St. (29.0)SumH68-57W100%0.0
1-21IPFW (71.0)SumA79-74L0%0.0
1-23Western Illinois (262.0)SumA52-65W100%0.0
1-31IUPUI (189.0)SumA73-72L0%0.0
2-4Oral Roberts (148.0)SumH67-63W100%0.0
2-6IPFW (71.0)SumH62-46W100%0.0
2-11South Dakota (197.0)SumA72-58L0%0.0
2-13Nebraska Omaha (144.0)SumA76-69L0%0.0
2-17Western Illinois (262.0)SumH63-54W100%0.0
2-20IUPUI (189.0)SumH63-59W100%0.0
2-25South Dakota St. (29.0)SumA71-59L0%0.0
2-27Denver (188.0)SumA70-59L0%0.0
3-6IUPUI (189.0)SumN45-60W100%0.0
3-7IPFW (71.0)SumN68-69W100%0.0
3-8South Dakota St. (29.0)SumA67-59L0%0.0