Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  North Dakota St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

North Dakota St.

Conference:Sum
Expected RPI:268.0
Current RPI:268
Expected SOS:249
Current Record:9-18
Expected Record:9-18
Current Conf Record:8-11
Expected Conf Record:8-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-5
Current OOC Record:1-7
Expected OOC Record:1-7
Expected OOC RPI:305
Expected OOC SOS:222


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
9-1833.33%268.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Dakota St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Utah Valley (342.0)GWCA72-80L0%0.0
11-21Idaho (173.2)WACH69-81L0%0.0
11-24UC Davis (244.0)BWA63-62W100%0.0
11-27Wisconsin Green Bay (107.0)HorzH62-71L0%0.0
12-3Western Illinois (280.0)SumA60-55W100%0.0
12-5IUPUI (86.1)SumA74-86L0%0.0
12-12Wisconsin Milwaukee (130.6)HorzH73-84L0%0.0
12-19Fresno St. (190.4)WACA54-68L0%0.0
12-21Wichita St. (42.8)MVCA57-69L0%0.0
12-31Centenary (314.0)SumH82-70W100%0.0
1-2Oral Roberts (124.3)SumH59-65L0%0.0
1-7Southern Utah (325.5)SumA79-85L0%0.0
1-9Iowa St. (122.8)B12A71-73L0%0.0
1-15South Dakota St. (233.5)SumH79-67W100%0.0
1-21Oakland (51.7)SumH79-85L0%0.0
1-23IUPU Fort Wayne (225.3)SumH59-68L0%0.0
1-26Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumA73-69W100%0.0
1-28Oral Roberts (124.3)SumA57-71L0%0.0
1-30Centenary (314.0)SumA73-62W100%0.0
2-4Missouri Kansas City (281.7)SumH56-58L0%0.0
2-6Southern Utah (325.5)SumH79-59W100%0.0
2-13South Dakota St. (233.5)SumA90-85W100%0.0
2-18IUPU Fort Wayne (225.3)SumA67-71L0%0.0
2-20Oakland (51.7)SumA81-88L0%0.0
2-25IUPUI (86.1)SumH52-66L0%0.0
2-27Western Illinois (280.0)SumH63-59W100%0.0
3-7Oral Roberts (124.3)SumN64-65L0%0.0