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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

North Carolina Central

Expected RPI:310.0
Current RPI:310
Expected SOS:340
Current Record:10-19
Expected Record:10-19
Current Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-11
Current OOC Record:2-9
Expected OOC Record:2-9
Expected OOC RPI:294
Expected OOC SOS:195


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Carolina Central.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Clemson (131.0)ACCA74-40L0%0.0
11-22LIU Brooklyn (254.0)NECA78-77L0%0.0
11-24Quinnipiac (297.0)MAACA69-59L0%0.0
11-27Louisiana Tech (122.0)CUSAA71-50L0%0.0
12-3Mississippi Valley St. (330.0)SWACH86-79W100%0.0
12-5Maryland Eastern Shore (307.0)MEACH70-59W100%0.0
12-7Howard (328.0)MEACH69-71L0%0.0
12-14Marshall (128.0)CUSAA92-73L0%0.0
12-16Houston (87.0)AmerA73-65L0%0.0
12-21Southern (186.0)SWACN63-68L0%0.0
12-22Eastern Illinois (271.0)OVCN57-52W100%0.0
12-31Mississippi St. (154.0)SECA71-48L0%0.0
1-4East Tennessee St. (85.0)SCH68-72L0%0.0
1-9South Carolina St. (203.0)MEACA91-75L0%0.0
1-11Savannah St. (277.0)MEACA46-69W100%0.0
1-16Norfolk St. (225.0)MEACH79-88L0%0.0
1-18Hampton (155.0)MEACH79-80L0%0.0
1-27Delaware St. (345.0)MEACA71-60L0%0.0
2-1Florida A&M (349.0)MEACA63-81W100%0.0
2-6North Carolina A&T (340.0)MEACH63-67L0%0.0
2-13Bethune Cookman (288.0)MEACH90-66W100%0.0
2-15Florida A&M (349.0)MEACH79-74W100%0.0
2-18Coppin St. (326.0)MEACA71-60L0%0.0
2-20Morgan St. (327.0)MEACA59-73W100%0.0
2-27Bethune Cookman (288.0)MEACA69-61L0%0.0
2-29Savannah St. (277.0)MEACH61-44W100%0.0
3-3North Carolina A&T (340.0)MEACA93-87L0%0.0
3-8Howard (328.0)MEACN68-66W100%0.0
3-9Norfolk St. (225.0)MEACA66-47L0%0.0