Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  North Carolina Central   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

North Carolina Central

Conference:ind
Expected RPI:347.0
Current RPI:347
Expected SOS:329
Current Record:3-22
Expected Record:3-22
Current Conf Record:2-2
Expected Conf Record:2-2
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:3-16
Current OOC Record:1-20
Expected OOC Record:1-20
Expected OOC RPI:345
Expected OOC SOS:309


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
3-2212.00%347.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Carolina Central.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11North Carolina (94.1)ACCA42-89L0%0.0
11-14Miami FL (95.7)ACCA53-83L0%0.0
11-20Florida International (296.0)SBA73-83L0%0.0
11-22Murray St. (54.4)OVCN61-84L0%0.0
11-23James Madison (241.9)CAAN66-79L0%0.0
11-28Iowa (211.1)B10A63-73L0%0.0
12-2Air Force (244.3)MWCA49-61L0%0.0
12-16Florida Gulf Coast (321.3)ASunH67-76L0%0.0
12-19Indiana (221.7)B10A58-81L0%0.0
12-21Ball St. (218.5)MACA45-59L0%0.0
12-29High Point (253.8)BSthA58-70L0%0.0
1-3East Carolina (230.2)CUSAA58-68L0%0.0
1-6Colgate (290.0)PatA54-75L0%0.0
1-9Southern Methodist (208.1)CUSAA50-78L0%0.0
1-11High Point (253.8)BSthH55-58L0%0.0
1-18Virginia Tech (56.6)ACCA30-72L0%0.0
1-20Savannah St. (316.0)indA44-46L0%0.0
1-27Youngstown St. (270.5)HorzA57-70L0%0.0
1-30North Carolina St. (92.6)ACCA42-77L0%0.0
2-2Western Illinois (280.0)SumH50-53L0%0.0
2-6Savannah St. (316.0)indH65-60W100%0.0
2-10Maryland Eastern Shore (307.8)MEACH73-71W100%0.0
2-13Longwood (285.8)indH81-78W100%0.0
2-15Coastal Carolina (136.8)BSthH57-68L0%0.0
2-25Longwood (285.8)indA69-83L0%0.0