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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

North Carolina A&T

Expected RPI:340.0
Current RPI:340
Expected SOS:348
Current Record:10-21
Expected Record:10-21
Current Conf Record:7-10
Expected Conf Record:7-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-13
Current OOC Record:3-11
Expected OOC Record:3-11
Expected OOC RPI:337
Expected OOC SOS:292


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for North Carolina A&T.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Purdue (15.0)B10A81-40L0%0.0
11-16Florida (55.0)SECA104-54L0%0.0
11-21Buffalo (90.0)MACN68-86L0%0.0
11-22Niagara (315.0)MAACN72-73L0%0.0
11-24Virginia Tech (89.0)ACCA90-60L0%0.0
11-28North Dakota St. (120.0)SumA77-56L0%0.0
11-30Northern Kentucky (296.0)HorzH74-63W100%0.0
12-2UNC Greensboro (237.0)SCH77-68W100%0.0
12-5Howard (328.0)MEACH66-63W100%0.0
12-7Maryland Eastern Shore (307.0)MEACH80-74W100%0.0
12-13East Carolina (217.0)AmerA71-60L0%0.0
12-17Grambling St. (350.0)SWACH61-47W100%0.0
12-21Toledo (182.0)MACA95-62L0%0.0
12-30Kent St. (124.0)MACH60-61L0%0.0
1-5USC Upstate (324.0)ASunA78-68L0%0.0
1-9Savannah St. (277.0)MEACA75-68L0%0.0
1-11South Carolina St. (203.0)MEACA92-85L0%0.0
1-16Hampton (155.0)MEACH62-79L0%0.0
1-18Norfolk St. (225.0)MEACH68-75L0%0.0
1-25Delaware St. (345.0)MEACA57-55L0%0.0
1-27Coppin St. (326.0)MEACA73-68L0%0.0
1-30Savannah St. (277.0)MEACH63-62W100%0.0
2-3Charlotte (234.0)CUSAH72-92L0%0.0
2-6North Carolina Central (310.0)MEACA63-67W100%0.0
2-13Florida A&M (349.0)MEACH75-68W100%0.0
2-15Bethune Cookman (288.0)MEACH77-83L0%0.0
2-22Morgan St. (327.0)MEACA72-51L0%0.0
2-27Florida A&M (349.0)MEACA70-77W100%0.0
2-29Bethune Cookman (288.0)MEACA62-52L0%0.0
3-3North Carolina Central (310.0)MEACH93-87W100%0.0
3-7Coppin St. (326.0)MEACN91-98L0%0.0