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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Norfolk St.

Expected RPI:225.0
Current RPI:225
Expected SOS:297
Current Record:15-16
Expected Record:15-16
Current Conf Record:13-5
Expected Conf Record:13-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:14-5
Current OOC Record:2-11
Expected OOC Record:2-11
Expected OOC RPI:237
Expected OOC SOS:86


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Norfolk St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14South Carolina (65.0)SECA84-69L0%0.0
11-20Indiana St. (172.0)MVCN61-70L0%0.0
11-21Ohio (81.0)MACN71-93L0%0.0
11-23DePaul (198.0)BEN82-78L0%0.0
11-30Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyA66-70W100%0.0
12-7Coppin St. (326.0)MEACA56-88W100%0.0
12-13Northern Kentucky (296.0)HorzA81-60L0%0.0
12-15Cincinnati (48.0)AmerA75-59L0%0.0
12-17Evansville (93.0)MVCA84-70L0%0.0
12-21UTEP (215.0)CUSAA76-85W100%0.0
12-22UC Irvine (75.0)BWN62-80L0%0.0
12-29Old Dominion (140.0)CUSAA68-57L0%0.0
1-2Alabama (73.0)SECA68-49L0%0.0
1-5Princeton (39.0)IvyH74-83L0%0.0
1-9Florida A&M (349.0)MEACH77-56W100%0.0
1-11Bethune Cookman (288.0)MEACH70-72L0%0.0
1-16North Carolina Central (310.0)MEACA79-88W100%0.0
1-18North Carolina A&T (340.0)MEACA68-75W100%0.0
1-23South Carolina St. (203.0)MEACH87-74W100%0.0
1-25Savannah St. (277.0)MEACH92-73W100%0.0
1-30Hampton (155.0)MEACA86-76L0%0.0
2-6Howard (328.0)MEACA92-99W100%0.0
2-8Maryland Eastern Shore (307.0)MEACA70-76W100%0.0
2-13Morgan St. (327.0)MEACH79-73W100%0.0
2-20Delaware St. (345.0)MEACA67-64L0%0.0
2-22Coppin St. (326.0)MEACH85-77W100%0.0
2-24Morgan St. (327.0)MEACA89-72L0%0.0
2-29Howard (328.0)MEACH84-66W100%0.0
3-3Hampton (155.0)MEACH83-63W100%0.0
3-9North Carolina Central (310.0)MEACH66-47W100%0.0
3-11South Carolina St. (203.0)MEACH65-67L0%0.0