Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Nicholls St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

Nicholls St.

Conference:Slnd
Expected RPI:278.3
Current RPI:279
Expected SOS:251
Current Record:8-17
Expected Record:8-18
Current Conf Record:7-9
Expected Conf Record:7-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.54%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-5
Current OOC Record:1-8
Expected OOC Record:1-8
Expected OOC RPI:287
Expected OOC SOS:185


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
11-1739.29%231.70.54%
10-1835.71%250.41.73%
9-1833.33%265.75.44%
8-1830.77%279.892.29%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Nicholls St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Duquesne (108.8)A10A62-85L0%0.0
11-17Houston (158.6)CUSAA60-92L0%0.0
11-20New Mexico (9.5)MWCA59-83L0%0.0
11-21Miami OH (142.6)MACN58-69L0%0.0
11-22Louisiana Tech (79.9)WACN45-77L0%0.0
11-27Washington St. (152.2)P10N69-78L0%0.0
11-28Oklahoma (114.4)B12N60-81L0%0.0
12-17Louisiana St. (223.3)SECA60-63L0%0.0
12-21Jacksonville St. (297.8)OVCA60-55W100%0.0
1-9Northwestern St. (314.7)SlndH79-72W100%0.0
1-13Texas San Antonio (176.1)SlndA59-64L0%0.0
1-16Stephen F. Austin (159.3)SlndH70-63W100%0.0
1-20Central Arkansas (320.8)SlndA50-64L0%0.0
1-23Northwestern St. (314.7)SlndA98-99L0%0.0
1-27McNeese St. (314.4)SlndH63-61W100%0.0
1-30Southeastern Louisiana (198.4)SlndH65-84L0%0.0
2-3Stephen F. Austin (159.3)SlndA67-68L0%0.0
2-6Texas A&M Corpus Chris (169.6)SlndA46-71L0%0.0
2-10Sam Houston St. (78.5)SlndH69-75L0%0.0
2-13Southeastern Louisiana (198.4)SlndA63-76L0%0.0
2-20Texas St. (233.8)SlndH66-63W100%0.0
2-24Central Arkansas (320.8)SlndH68-51W100%0.0
2-27McNeese St. (314.4)SlndA53-69L0%0.0
3-3Texas Arlington (229.9)SlndA73-64W100%0.0
3-6Lamar (292.5)SlndH73-61W100%0.0