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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

New Orleans

Expected RPI:343.0
Current RPI:343
Expected SOS:349
Current Record:7-20
Expected Record:7-20
Current Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-9
Current OOC Record:1-7
Expected OOC Record:1-7
Expected OOC RPI:320
Expected OOC SOS:294


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for New Orleans.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Bowling Green (200.0)MACA79-61L0%0.0
11-16Duquesne (162.0)A10A95-75L0%0.0
11-25Bradley (306.0)MVCA51-64W100%0.0
11-28Northwestern (115.0)B10A90-63L0%0.0
12-2Tulane (227.0)AmerA64-62L0%0.0
12-5Ball St. (179.0)MACA66-52L0%0.0
12-16Massachusetts (171.0)A10A103-95L0%0.0
12-21Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBA79-69L0%0.0
1-4Lamar (337.0)SlndA64-68W100%0.0
1-9Sam Houston St. (178.0)SlndA73-70L0%0.0
1-11Incarnate Word (163.0)SlndH68-71L0%0.0
1-16Houston Baptist (224.0)SlndH69-73L0%0.0
1-18Stephen F. Austin (61.0)SlndH58-82L0%0.0
1-23Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndA97-76L0%0.0
1-25Central Arkansas (339.0)SlndH94-83W100%0.0
1-30McNeese St. (341.0)SlndH76-64W100%0.0
2-1Nicholls St. (313.0)SlndH74-53W100%0.0
2-6Central Arkansas (339.0)SlndA112-77L0%0.0
2-11McNeese St. (341.0)SlndA87-76L0%0.0
2-15Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndH57-65L0%0.0
2-20Northwestern St. (344.0)SlndA99-102W100%0.0
2-24Southeastern Louisiana (331.0)SlndA93-81L0%0.0
2-27Abilene Christian (321.0)SlndA87-84L0%0.0
2-29Nicholls St. (313.0)SlndA80-76L0%0.0
3-3Southeastern Louisiana (331.0)SlndH60-61L0%0.0
3-5Northwestern St. (344.0)SlndH97-86W100%0.0
3-9Southeastern Louisiana (331.0)SlndN84-74L0%0.0