Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  New Mexico   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

New Mexico

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:10.5
Current RPI:9
Expected SOS:66
Current Record:29-4
Expected Record:29-4
Current Conf Record:15-3
Expected Conf Record:15-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:5-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-0
Current OOC Record:14-1
Expected OOC Record:14-1
Expected OOC RPI:8
Expected OOC SOS:55


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
29-487.88%10.5100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for New Mexico.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14UC Riverside (255.6)BWH67-51W100%0.0
11-17New Mexico St. (58.1)WACA97-87W100%0.0
11-20Nicholls St. (277.4)SlndH83-59W100%0.0
11-21Louisiana Tech (77.1)WACH81-52W100%0.0
11-22Miami OH (145.1)MACH85-60W100%0.0
11-27Hawaii (253.2)WACA83-71W100%0.0
12-2California (18.5)P10H86-78W100%0.0
12-5New Mexico St. (58.1)WACH75-58W100%0.0
12-9San Diego (230.7)WCCA82-78W100%0.0
12-12Texas A&M (13.7)B12N84-81W100%0.0
12-16Northern Arizona (198.2)BSkyH96-57W100%0.0
12-19Creighton (114.4)MVCH66-61W100%0.0
12-23Oral Roberts (124.3)SumA66-75L0%0.0
12-29Texas Tech (71.6)B12H90-75W100%0.0
1-1Dayton (51.2)A10H68-66W100%0.0
1-5San Diego St. (24.6)MWCA64-74L0%0.0
1-9Nevada Las Vegas (40.1)MWCH62-74L0%0.0
1-13Utah (156.1)MWCH74-57W100%0.0
1-16Wyoming (227.6)MWCA70-68W100%0.0
1-20Air Force (244.3)MWCA73-50W100%0.0
1-23Colorado St. (119.8)MWCH82-64W100%0.0
1-27Brigham Young (21.9)MWCH76-72W100%0.0
1-30Texas Christian (188.1)MWCA73-57W100%0.0
2-6San Diego St. (24.6)MWCH88-86W100%0.0
2-10Nevada Las Vegas (40.1)MWCA76-66W100%0.0
2-13Utah (156.1)MWCA68-65W100%0.0
2-17Wyoming (227.6)MWCH83-61W100%0.0
2-20Air Force (244.3)MWCH59-56W100%0.0
2-23Colorado St. (119.8)MWCA72-66W100%0.0
2-27Brigham Young (21.9)MWCA83-81W100%0.0
3-3Texas Christian (188.1)MWCH73-66W100%0.0
3-11Air Force (244.3)MWCN75-69W100%0.0
3-12San Diego St. (24.6)MWCN69-72L0%0.0