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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

New Mexico

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:2.0
Current RPI:2
Expected SOS:2
Current Record:29-5
Expected Record:29-5
Current Conf Record:16-3
Expected Conf Record:16-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:6-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:9-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:1-0
Current OOC Record:13-2
Expected OOC Record:13-2
Expected OOC RPI:3
Expected OOC SOS:3


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
29-585.29%2.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for New Mexico.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Davidson (61.0)SCH86-81W100%0.0
11-16Illinois Chicago (169.0)HorzN66-59W100%0.0
11-18George Mason (162.0)CAAN70-69W100%0.0
11-19Connecticut (49.0)BEN60-66W100%0.0
11-23Idaho (195.0)WACH73-58W100%0.0
11-25Portland (231.0)WCCH69-54W100%0.0
11-28Mercer (137.0)ASunH76-58W100%0.0
12-1Indiana St. (74.0)MVCA68-77W100%0.0
12-5Southern California (118.0)P12H75-67W100%0.0
12-8Valparaiso (58.0)HorzH65-52W100%0.0
12-15New Mexico St. (55.0)WACH73-58W100%0.0
12-19New Mexico St. (55.0)WACA63-68W100%0.0
12-22South Dakota St. (62.0)SumH65-70L0%0.0
12-27Cincinnati (50.0)BEA54-55W100%0.0
12-31St. Louis (15.0)A10A60-46L0%0.0
1-9Nevada Las Vegas (23.0)MWCH65-60W100%0.0
1-12Fresno St. (135.0)MWCH72-45W100%0.0
1-16Boise St. (45.0)MWCA74-79W100%0.0
1-23Colorado St. (18.0)MWCH66-61W100%0.0
1-26San Diego St. (30.0)MWCA55-34L0%0.0
1-30Wyoming (75.0)MWCA59-63W100%0.0
2-2Nevada (171.0)MWCH75-62W100%0.0
2-6Air Force (80.0)MWCH81-58W100%0.0
2-9Nevada Las Vegas (23.0)MWCA64-55L0%0.0
2-13Fresno St. (135.0)MWCA48-54W100%0.0
2-16Boise St. (45.0)MWCH60-50W100%0.0
2-23Colorado St. (18.0)MWCA82-91W100%0.0
2-27San Diego St. (30.0)MWCH70-60W100%0.0
3-2Wyoming (75.0)MWCH53-42W100%0.0
3-6Nevada (171.0)MWCA62-75W100%0.0
3-9Air Force (80.0)MWCA89-88L0%0.0
3-13Wyoming (75.0)MWCN59-46W100%0.0
3-15San Diego St. (30.0)MWCN60-50W100%0.0
3-16Nevada Las Vegas (23.0)MWCA56-63W100%0.0