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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

New Mexico

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:27.0
Current RPI:27
Expected SOS:82
Current Record:26-6
Expected Record:26-6
Current Conf Record:13-4
Expected Conf Record:13-4
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:4-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-1
Current OOC Record:13-2
Expected OOC Record:13-2
Expected OOC RPI:88
Expected OOC SOS:277


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
26-681.25%27.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for New Mexico.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16New Mexico St. (59.0)WACH53-62L0%0.0
11-18Arizona St. (252.0)P12A71-76W100%0.0
11-24Santa Clara (303.0)WCCN79-76L0%0.0
11-25Washington St. (175.0)P12N72-62W100%0.0
11-27Boston College (244.0)ACCN57-75W100%0.0
11-30Idaho St. (290.0)BSkyH65-41W100%0.0
12-3Missouri St. (123.0)MVCH76-60W100%0.0
12-10Southern California (270.0)P12A41-44W100%0.0
12-17Oklahoma St. (124.0)B12N56-66W100%0.0
12-20Montana St. (275.0)BSkyH91-46W100%0.0
12-22Missouri Kansas City (266.0)SumH87-62W100%0.0
12-28New Mexico St. (59.0)WACA69-89W100%0.0
12-31St. Louis (31.0)A10H64-60W100%0.0
1-3Houston Baptist (324.0)GWCH98-61W100%0.0
1-7North Dakota (242.0)GWCH85-57W100%0.0
1-14Wyoming (83.0)MWCA62-72W100%0.0
1-18San Diego St. (26.0)MWCH70-75L0%0.0
1-21Nevada Las Vegas (21.0)MWCA80-63L0%0.0
1-25Colorado St. (29.0)MWCH85-52W100%0.0
1-28Texas Christian (114.0)MWCH71-54W100%0.0
1-31Air Force (168.0)MWCA42-81W100%0.0
2-4Boise St. (173.0)MWCA49-65W100%0.0
2-11Wyoming (83.0)MWCH48-38W100%0.0
2-15San Diego St. (26.0)MWCA67-77W100%0.0
2-18Nevada Las Vegas (21.0)MWCH65-45W100%0.0
2-21Colorado St. (29.0)MWCA71-63L0%0.0
2-25Texas Christian (114.0)MWCA83-64L0%0.0
2-29Air Force (168.0)MWCH86-56W100%0.0
3-3Boise St. (173.0)MWCH76-61W100%0.0
3-8Air Force (168.0)MWCN79-64W100%0.0
3-9Nevada Las Vegas (21.0)MWCA67-72W100%0.0
3-10San Diego St. (26.0)MWCN59-68W100%0.0