Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Nevada Las Vegas   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Nevada Las Vegas

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:40.1
Current RPI:42
Expected SOS:100
Current Record:24-7
Expected Record:25-7
Current Conf Record:13-5
Expected Conf Record:14-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-0
Probability of Auto Bid:73.10%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:4-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-0
Current OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC RPI:61
Expected OOC SOS:191


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
25-778.12%38.873.10%
24-875.00%43.526.90%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Nevada Las Vegas.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-18Nevada (72.9)WACH88-75W100%0.0
11-21Southern Illinois (170.6)MVCH78-69W100%0.0
11-25Holy Cross (272.4)PatH80-59W100%0.0
11-28Louisville (38.3)BEH76-71W100%0.0
12-2Arizona (95.4)P10A74-72W100%0.0
12-5Santa Clara (234.3)WCCA66-63W100%0.0
12-12Kansas St. (5.5)B12H80-95L0%0.0
12-15Southern Utah (325.5)SumA77-59W100%0.0
12-17Weber St. (84.7)BSkyH72-63W100%0.0
12-19South Carolina Upstate (306.2)ASunH88-58W100%0.0
12-22Southern Methodist (208.1)CUSAN67-53W100%0.0
12-23Hawaii (253.2)WACA77-53W100%0.0
12-25Southern California (110.9)P10N56-67L0%0.0
1-6Brigham Young (21.9)MWCA73-77L0%0.0
1-9New Mexico (10.5)MWCA74-62W100%0.0
1-13San Diego St. (24.6)MWCH76-66W100%0.0
1-16Utah (156.1)MWCH69-73L0%0.0
1-20Colorado St. (119.8)MWCA80-72W100%0.0
1-23Texas Christian (188.1)MWCA79-70W100%0.0
1-26Air Force (244.3)MWCH60-50W100%0.0
2-3Wyoming (227.6)MWCA78-50W100%0.0
2-6Brigham Young (21.9)MWCH88-74W100%0.0
2-10New Mexico (10.5)MWCH66-76L0%0.0
2-13San Diego St. (24.6)MWCA58-68L0%0.0
2-17Utah (156.1)MWCA61-66L0%0.0
2-20Colorado St. (119.8)MWCH70-39W100%0.0
2-24Texas Christian (188.1)MWCH78-62W100%0.0
2-27Air Force (244.3)MWCA77-47W100%0.0
3-6Wyoming (227.6)MWCH74-56W100%0.0
3-11Utah (156.1)MWCH73-61W100%0.0
3-12Brigham Young (21.9)MWCH70-66W100%0.0