Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  NC Greensboro   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

NC Greensboro

Conference:SC
Expected RPI:249.3
Current RPI:248
Expected SOS:131
Current Record:8-23
Expected Record:8-23
Current Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-8
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-5
Current OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC Record:1-10
Expected OOC RPI:227
Expected OOC SOS:19


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
8-2325.81%249.3100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for NC Greensboro.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Duke (2.8)ACCA62-96L0%0.0
11-17Virginia Tech (56.6)ACCA46-59L0%0.0
11-20Clemson (34.3)ACCH67-89L0%0.0
11-24South Carolina Upstate (306.2)ASunA76-70W100%0.0
11-28East Carolina (230.2)CUSAH61-82L0%0.0
12-5Samford (262.1)SCA73-40W100%0.0
12-7College of Charleston (91.1)SCH64-67L0%0.0
12-13Princeton (133.1)IvyH50-65L0%0.0
12-18Akron (84.2)MACA59-83L0%0.0
12-22Richmond (28.0)A10A63-89L0%0.0
12-28Wake Forest (40.6)ACCH60-75L0%0.0
12-31North Carolina St. (92.6)ACCH67-89L0%0.0
1-3Maryland (22.1)ACCH63-97L0%0.0
1-7Wofford (68.8)SCH62-79L0%0.0
1-9Furman (278.9)SCH88-78W100%0.0
1-11Chattanooga (238.0)SCA45-58L0%0.0
1-14Western Carolina (121.9)SCA69-79L0%0.0
1-16Appalachian St. (100.4)SCA64-72L0%0.0
1-21Chattanooga (238.0)SCH62-49W100%0.0
1-23Samford (262.1)SCH67-70L0%0.0
1-28Elon (269.0)SCH62-55W100%0.0
2-4Furman (278.9)SCA64-72L0%0.0
2-6Wofford (68.8)SCA59-77L0%0.0
2-8Appalachian St. (100.4)SCH69-75L0%0.0
2-15Western Carolina (121.9)SCH70-75L0%0.0
2-17Elon (269.0)SCA65-70L0%0.0
2-20The Citadel (198.5)SCA59-53W100%0.0
2-24Davidson (179.5)SCA56-60L0%0.0
3-1Georgia Southern (288.0)SCH81-79W100%0.0
3-5Furman (278.9)SCN66-65W100%0.0
3-6Wofford (68.8)SCN47-59L0%0.0