Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  NC Asheville   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

NC Asheville

Conference:BSth
Expected RPI:216.9
Current RPI:215
Expected SOS:193
Current Record:12-16
Expected Record:12-16
Current Conf Record:12-8
Expected Conf Record:12-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-4
Current OOC Record:0-8
Expected OOC Record:0-8
Expected OOC RPI:270
Expected OOC SOS:17


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-1642.86%216.9100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for NC Asheville.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Charlotte (77.8)A10A70-86L0%0.0
11-17Tennessee (11.0)SECA49-124L0%0.0
11-21Campbell (183.2)ASunH66-85L0%0.0
11-24Georgia (105.1)SECA58-79L0%0.0
11-27Furman (278.9)SCH66-72L0%0.0
11-30Kentucky (2.8)SECN57-94L0%0.0
12-4Gardner Webb (318.0)BSthA58-56W100%0.0
12-21Wofford (68.8)SCH42-68L0%0.0
12-30Western Carolina (121.9)SCA76-87L0%0.0
1-2Radford (169.2)BSthA74-82L0%0.0
1-4High Point (253.8)BSthA62-66L0%0.0
1-7Coastal Carolina (136.8)BSthH57-58L0%0.0
1-9Charleston Southern (285.0)BSthH74-77L0%0.0
1-14Virginia Military Inst (309.9)BSthA97-84W100%0.0
1-16Liberty (232.0)BSthA74-70W100%0.0
1-21Winthrop (159.8)BSthH66-53W100%0.0
1-23Presbyterian (329.4)BSthH99-89W100%0.0
1-28High Point (253.8)BSthH83-69W100%0.0
1-31Radford (169.2)BSthH92-84W100%0.0
2-4Charleston Southern (285.0)BSthA54-62L0%0.0
2-6Coastal Carolina (136.8)BSthA62-98L0%0.0
2-11Liberty (232.0)BSthH75-72W100%0.0
2-13Virginia Military Inst (309.9)BSthH114-97W100%0.0
2-16Presbyterian (329.4)BSthA69-66W100%0.0
2-23Winthrop (159.8)BSthA65-68L0%0.0
2-27Gardner Webb (318.0)BSthH89-86W100%0.0
3-2High Point (253.8)BSthH84-73W100%0.0
3-4Coastal Carolina (136.8)BSthA73-92L0%0.0