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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

NC Asheville

Conference:BSth
Expected RPI:104.0
Current RPI:104
Expected SOS:206
Current Record:21-9
Expected Record:21-9
Current Conf Record:19-2
Expected Conf Record:19-2
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:18-1
Current OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC RPI:203
Expected OOC SOS:24


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-970.00%104.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for NC Asheville.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11North Carolina St. (49.0)ACCA84-75L0%0.0
11-13North Carolina (3.0)ACCH75-91L0%0.0
11-24Connecticut (32.0)BEN73-63L0%0.0
11-25College of Charleston (122.0)SCN66-68L0%0.0
11-26Utah (274.0)P12N87-65W100%0.0
12-1Gardner Webb (293.0)BSthA60-66W100%0.0
12-4South Carolina Upstate (140.0)ASunH88-81W100%0.0
12-20Tennessee (86.0)SECA72-68L0%0.0
12-28Western Carolina (220.0)SCA86-67L0%0.0
12-31Winthrop (272.0)BSthA68-73W100%0.0
1-2Radford (329.0)BSthA56-66W100%0.0
1-5Virginia Military Inst (259.0)BSthH94-85W100%0.0
1-7Liberty (283.0)BSthH98-75W100%0.0
1-12Campbell (206.0)BSthA82-89W100%0.0
1-14High Point (268.0)BSthA79-86W100%0.0
1-17Coastal Carolina (182.0)BSthH88-81W100%0.0
1-19Charleston Southern (162.0)BSthH88-93L0%0.0
1-21Presbyterian (245.0)BSthA58-66W100%0.0
1-26High Point (268.0)BSthH90-70W100%0.0
1-28Campbell (206.0)BSthH95-84W100%0.0
2-2Virginia Military Inst (259.0)BSthA86-89W100%0.0
2-4Liberty (283.0)BSthA51-65W100%0.0
2-11Radford (329.0)BSthH88-62W100%0.0
2-14Coastal Carolina (182.0)BSthA74-69L0%0.0
2-18Ohio (47.0)MACA81-62L0%0.0
2-23Gardner Webb (293.0)BSthH71-61W100%0.0
2-25Winthrop (272.0)BSthH67-55W100%0.0
2-29High Point (268.0)BSthH86-61W100%0.0
3-1Charleston Southern (162.0)BSthH91-64W100%0.0
3-3Virginia Military Inst (259.0)BSthH80-64W100%0.0