live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Mount St. Mary's

Conference:NEC
Expected RPI:121.0
Current RPI:121
Expected SOS:179
Current Record:18-14
Expected Record:18-14
Current Conf Record:13-8
Expected Conf Record:13-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-3
Current OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC RPI:138
Expected OOC SOS:169


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1456.25%121.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Mount St. Mary's.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Pittsburgh (44.0)BEA80-48L0%0.0
11-13Hartford (187.0)AEH70-63W100%0.0
11-15American (278.0)PatA62-57L0%0.0
11-24Georgetown (11.0)BEA72-50L0%0.0
11-26George Washington (147.0)A10A56-65W100%0.0
12-1Binghamton (336.0)AEA70-71W100%0.0
12-7Navy (308.0)PatH72-65W100%0.0
12-15Loyola MD (99.0)MAACA79-57L0%0.0
12-19Indiana (8.0)B10A93-54L0%0.0
12-22Western Michigan (128.0)MACA87-66L0%0.0
12-29MD Baltimore County (298.0)AEH58-55W100%0.0
1-3Fairleigh Dickinson (299.0)NECH65-72L0%0.0
1-5Monmouth (282.0)NECH71-59W100%0.0
1-10St. Francis NY (207.0)NECA70-56L0%0.0
1-12Long Island (179.0)NECA86-72L0%0.0
1-17Bryant (158.0)NECA79-78L0%0.0
1-19Central Connecticut (200.0)NECA75-80W100%0.0
1-24Wagner (126.0)NECH50-52L0%0.0
1-26Robert Morris (132.0)NECA76-68L0%0.0
1-31Quinnipiac (191.0)NECH77-73W100%0.0
2-2Sacred Heart (253.0)NECH91-82W100%0.0
2-6Wagner (126.0)NECA74-65L0%0.0
2-9St. Francis PA (322.0)NECA58-69W100%0.0
2-14Bryant (158.0)NECH84-70W100%0.0
2-16Central Connecticut (200.0)NECH89-80W100%0.0
2-21Long Island (179.0)NECH83-71W100%0.0
2-23St. Francis NY (207.0)NECH73-65W100%0.0
2-28Monmouth (282.0)NECA63-77W100%0.0
3-2Fairleigh Dickinson (299.0)NECA82-103W100%0.0
3-6Bryant (158.0)NECA69-75W100%0.0
3-9Robert Morris (132.0)NECA60-69W100%0.0
3-12Long Island (179.0)NECA91-70L0%0.0