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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Morgan St.

Expected RPI:327.0
Current RPI:327
Expected SOS:314
Current Record:8-22
Expected Record:8-22
Current Conf Record:7-11
Expected Conf Record:7-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-12
Current OOC Record:1-11
Expected OOC Record:1-11
Expected OOC RPI:292
Expected OOC SOS:128


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Morgan St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Virginia (3.0)ACCA86-48L0%0.0
11-16Towson (150.0)CAAA69-61L0%0.0
11-18Old Dominion (140.0)CUSAA79-48L0%0.0
11-21Campbell (308.0)BSthA54-59W100%0.0
11-28High Point (158.0)BSthA82-72L0%0.0
12-2Wagner (185.0)NECA62-61L0%0.0
12-6Cincinnati (48.0)AmerA87-66L0%0.0
12-20Manhattan (229.0)MAACH66-78L0%0.0
12-23Rider (242.0)MAACH49-71L0%0.0
12-28UC Riverside (267.0)BWH72-81L0%0.0
12-31Cal St. Bakersfield (117.0)WACA80-68L0%0.0
1-2Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWA88-74L0%0.0
1-6Hampton (155.0)MEACH80-83L0%0.0
1-9Delaware St. (345.0)MEACH63-58W100%0.0
1-11Maryland Eastern Shore (307.0)MEACA69-65L0%0.0
1-16Florida A&M (349.0)MEACA72-65L0%0.0
1-18Bethune Cookman (288.0)MEACA62-50L0%0.0
1-30Howard (328.0)MEACH83-63W100%0.0
2-1Coppin St. (326.0)MEACH83-43W100%0.0
2-6Savannah St. (277.0)MEACA57-49L0%0.0
2-8South Carolina St. (203.0)MEACA82-78L0%0.0
2-13Norfolk St. (225.0)MEACA79-73L0%0.0
2-15Hampton (155.0)MEACA87-79L0%0.0
2-20North Carolina Central (310.0)MEACH59-73L0%0.0
2-22North Carolina A&T (340.0)MEACH72-51W100%0.0
2-24Norfolk St. (225.0)MEACH89-72W100%0.0
2-27Coppin St. (326.0)MEACA72-74W100%0.0
3-3Maryland Eastern Shore (307.0)MEACH71-80L0%0.0
3-8Maryland Eastern Shore (307.0)MEACN58-65W100%0.0
3-9Hampton (155.0)MEACN83-81L0%0.0