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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Morgan St.

Conference:MEAC
Expected RPI:236.0
Current RPI:236
Expected SOS:337
Current Record:17-15
Expected Record:17-15
Current Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:16-7
Current OOC Record:4-8
Expected OOC Record:4-8
Expected OOC RPI:258
Expected OOC SOS:309


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
17-1553.12%236.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Morgan St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Texas San Antonio (260.0)WACN71-59W100%0.0
11-10Old Dominion (318.0)CAAA72-61L0%0.0
11-11Holy Cross (251.0)PatN74-73L0%0.0
11-16South Carolina (222.0)SECA87-71L0%0.0
11-29Liberty (288.0)BSthA62-67W100%0.0
12-1Virginia Military Inst (302.0)BSthA80-81W100%0.0
12-16Illinois St. (117.0)MVCA87-68L0%0.0
12-19Virginia (76.0)ACCA75-57L0%0.0
12-27Loyola Marymount (211.0)WCCA79-62L0%0.0
12-29San Diego (165.0)WCCA66-63L0%0.0
1-5Saint Joseph's (82.0)A10H60-70L0%0.0
1-12South Carolina St. (342.0)MEACH76-60W100%0.0
1-14Savannah St. (166.0)MEACH70-78L0%0.0
1-19Hampton (287.0)MEACA78-80W100%0.0
1-21Norfolk St. (178.0)MEACA73-71L0%0.0
1-26North Carolina A&T (213.0)MEACA52-55W100%0.0
1-28North Carolina Central (155.0)MEACA69-61L0%0.0
2-2Hampton (287.0)MEACH62-64L0%0.0
2-4Norfolk St. (178.0)MEACH59-64L0%0.0
2-9Coppin St. (313.0)MEACA51-80W100%0.0
2-11Howard (334.0)MEACA51-53W100%0.0
2-16Maryland Eastern Shore (345.0)MEACA55-87W100%0.0
2-18Delaware St. (263.0)MEACA52-50L0%0.0
2-23High Point (249.0)BSthA68-75W100%0.0
2-27Coppin St. (313.0)MEACH86-68W100%0.0
3-2Maryland Eastern Shore (345.0)MEACH58-45W100%0.0
3-4Delaware St. (263.0)MEACH66-47W100%0.0
3-7Florida A&M (331.0)MEACH78-67W100%0.0
3-11South Carolina St. (342.0)MEACN61-52W100%0.0
3-14Savannah St. (166.0)MEACN61-64W100%0.0
3-15Bethune Cookman (277.0)MEACN82-71W100%0.0
3-16North Carolina A&T (213.0)MEACN54-57L0%0.0