Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Morgan St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Morgan St.

Conference:MEAC
Expected RPI:102.4
Current RPI:105
Expected SOS:293
Current Record:26-9
Expected Record:27-9
Current Conf Record:17-1
Expected Conf Record:18-1
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-0
Probability of Auto Bid:82.13%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:25-2
Current OOC Record:9-8
Expected OOC Record:9-8
Expected OOC RPI:136
Expected OOC SOS:211


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
27-975.00%101.082.13%
26-1072.22%108.517.87%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Morgan St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Albany (301.3)AEA69-65W100%0.0
11-15MD Baltimore County (333.0)AEA72-57W100%0.0
11-19East Tennessee St. (121.0)ASunH72-61W100%0.0
11-22Louisville (38.3)BEA81-90L0%0.0
11-24Arkansas (159.8)SECA97-94W100%0.0
11-28Appalachian St. (100.4)SCA92-93L0%0.0
12-1Loyola MD (216.5)MAACA66-78L0%0.0
12-5Coppin St. (337.0)MEACA80-67W100%0.0
12-8Minnesota (64.6)B10A64-94L0%0.0
12-12Manhattan (226.2)MAACH83-74W100%0.0
12-22Towson (264.6)CAAH87-80W100%0.0
12-29Eastern Kentucky (154.3)OVCN62-76L0%0.0
12-30Long Island (240.0)NECN87-70W100%0.0
1-4Robert Morris (128.6)NECA75-78L0%0.0
1-6Baylor (8.6)B12A63-79L0%0.0
1-9Howard (329.6)MEACA90-58W100%0.0
1-11Hampton (283.5)MEACA73-63W100%0.0
1-16South Carolina St. (220.8)MEACA72-67W100%0.0
1-18Winston Salem St. (292.3)indA84-65W100%0.0
1-23Delaware St. (219.6)MEACH72-62W100%0.0
1-25Maryland Eastern Shore (307.8)MEACH91-54W100%0.0
1-31Norfolk St. (265.8)MEACA100-94W100%0.0
2-1North Carolina A&T (299.1)MEACA74-65W100%0.0
2-7Florida A&M (319.6)MEACH94-68W100%0.0
2-8Bethune Cookman (258.8)MEACH48-47W100%0.0
2-13Winston Salem St. (292.3)indH79-65W100%0.0
2-15South Carolina St. (220.8)MEACH68-71L0%0.0
2-17Delaware St. (219.6)MEACA68-65W100%0.0
2-20Murray St. (54.4)OVCA66-75L0%0.0
2-22Maryland Eastern Shore (307.8)MEACA65-61W100%0.0
2-27Norfolk St. (265.8)MEACH88-87W100%0.0
3-1North Carolina A&T (299.1)MEACH81-67W100%0.0
3-4Coppin St. (337.0)MEACH74-54W100%0.0
3-10North Carolina A&T (299.1)MEACN84-57W100%0.0
3-12Hampton (283.5)MEACN74-67W100%0.0