Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Morehead St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 7, 2010.

Morehead St.

Conference:OVC
Expected RPI:84.9
Current RPI:88
Expected SOS:160
Current Record:21-10
Expected Record:21-10
Current Conf Record:18-4
Expected Conf Record:18-4
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-1
Current OOC Record:3-6
Expected OOC Record:3-6
Expected OOC RPI:118
Expected OOC SOS:6


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
21-1067.74%84.9100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Morehead St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Kentucky (3.7)SECA59-75L0%0.0
11-21Louisiana Monroe (277.3)SBH73-74L0%0.0
11-29Kent St. (42.8)MACH57-63L0%0.0
12-3Tennessee Martin (338.8)OVCA74-66W100%0.0
12-5Murray St. (55.6)OVCA56-86L0%0.0
12-18East Tennessee St. (118.6)ASunH60-58W100%0.0
12-21Utah St. (28.7)WACA72-79L0%0.0
12-22Weber St. (77.3)BSkyN64-66L0%0.0
12-23Cal St. Fullerton (204.5)BWN69-62W100%0.0
12-28South Dakota (221.1)GWCA66-64W100%0.0
1-2Austin Peay (162.5)OVCH68-65W100%0.0
1-4Tennessee St. (257.9)OVCH72-66W100%0.0
1-7Tennessee Tech (197.6)OVCA77-64W100%0.0
1-9Jacksonville St. (297.8)OVCA78-71W100%0.0
1-14Southeast Missouri St. (311.7)OVCH80-40W100%0.0
1-16Eastern Illinois (167.5)OVCH73-51W100%0.0
1-19SIU Edwardsville (320.9)OVCH66-46W100%0.0
1-23Eastern Kentucky (151.6)OVCA69-53W100%0.0
1-28Tennessee St. (257.9)OVCA65-50W100%0.0
1-31Austin Peay (162.5)OVCA55-56L0%0.0
2-4Jacksonville St. (297.8)OVCH94-75W100%0.0
2-6Tennessee Tech (197.6)OVCH84-75W100%0.0
2-11Eastern Illinois (167.5)OVCA75-76L0%0.0
2-13Southeast Missouri St. (311.7)OVCA73-54W100%0.0
2-17Eastern Kentucky (151.6)OVCH77-64W100%0.0
2-20Illinois St. (74.2)MVCA62-71L0%0.0
2-25Murray St. (55.6)OVCH70-65W100%0.0
2-27Tennessee Martin (338.8)OVCH73-63W100%0.0
3-2Jacksonville St. (297.8)OVCH87-54W100%0.0
3-5Tennessee Tech (197.6)OVCN76-47W100%0.0
3-6Murray St. (55.6)OVCN51-62L0%0.0