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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Morehead St.

Expected RPI:127.0
Current RPI:127
Expected SOS:172
Current Record:17-12
Expected Record:17-12
Current Conf Record:12-6
Expected Conf Record:12-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-3
Current OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC RPI:147
Expected OOC SOS:119


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Morehead St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Illinois St. (114.0)MVCA67-66L0%0.0
11-21Northern Kentucky (296.0)HorzA56-64W100%0.0
11-24Marshall (128.0)CUSAH85-61W100%0.0
11-28Southern Miss (314.0)CUSAH61-46W100%0.0
12-2Saint Louis (206.0)A10A46-60W100%0.0
12-5Indiana (24.0)B10A92-59L0%0.0
12-13Pittsburgh (53.0)ACCA72-62L0%0.0
12-20Western Carolina (166.0)SCH60-52W100%0.0
12-23Davidson (64.0)A10A81-77L0%0.0
12-28Green Bay (112.0)HorzH72-78L0%0.0
12-30East Tennessee St. (85.0)SCA75-72L0%0.0
1-2Murray St. (169.0)OVCA62-57L0%0.0
1-7Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCH96-69W100%0.0
1-9Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCH64-58W100%0.0
1-14SIU Edwardsville (305.0)OVCA67-70W100%0.0
1-16Eastern Illinois (271.0)OVCA84-82L0%0.0
1-21Tennessee Tech (134.0)OVCH81-74W100%0.0
1-24Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCH74-78L0%0.0
1-27Austin Peay (184.0)OVCH75-65W100%0.0
1-30Eastern Kentucky (211.0)OVCA67-70W100%0.0
2-4Belmont (98.0)OVCA73-67L0%0.0
2-6Tennessee St. (152.0)OVCA77-76L0%0.0
2-11Eastern Kentucky (211.0)OVCH61-50W100%0.0
2-13Belmont (98.0)OVCH78-77W100%0.0
2-18Tennessee St. (152.0)OVCH66-61W100%0.0
2-25Tennessee Tech (134.0)OVCA59-69W100%0.0
2-27Jacksonville St. (309.0)OVCA71-82W100%0.0
3-3Murray St. (169.0)OVCN75-66W100%0.0
3-4Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCN83-70L0%0.0