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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Montana St.

Expected RPI:260.0
Current RPI:260
Expected SOS:321
Current Record:13-17
Expected Record:13-17
Current Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-7
Current OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC RPI:201
Expected OOC SOS:219


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Montana St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Hawaii (80.0)BWA87-76L0%0.0
11-15Nevada (118.0)MWCN83-62L0%0.0
11-20San Jose St. (301.0)MWCH81-69W100%0.0
11-22Wyoming (187.0)MWCN83-82W100%0.0
11-28Wyoming (187.0)MWCA82-68L0%0.0
12-1Utah Valley (272.0)WACA72-76W100%0.0
12-6Nebraska Omaha (144.0)SumH97-100L0%0.0
12-13San Jose St. (301.0)MWCA83-91W100%0.0
12-16North Dakota St. (120.0)SumA73-64L0%0.0
12-19Buffalo (90.0)MACA80-73L0%0.0
12-22Syracuse (72.0)ACCA82-60L0%0.0
12-31Southern Utah (336.0)BSkyA93-82L0%0.0
1-2Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyA72-74W100%0.0
1-7Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyH71-64W100%0.0
1-9Portland St. (282.0)BSkyH70-77L0%0.0
1-14North Dakota (218.0)BSkyA85-68L0%0.0
1-16Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyA78-76L0%0.0
1-21Eastern Washington (233.0)BSkyH85-71W100%0.0
1-23Idaho (191.0)BSkyH70-68W100%0.0
1-30Montana (145.0)BSkyH72-80L0%0.0
2-4Portland St. (282.0)BSkyA83-68L0%0.0
2-6Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyA76-79W100%0.0
2-11Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyH101-58W100%0.0
2-13Southern Utah (336.0)BSkyH80-73W100%0.0
2-20Montana (145.0)BSkyA87-78L0%0.0
2-25Weber St. (108.0)BSkyA68-60L0%0.0
2-27Idaho St. (256.0)BSkyA76-69L0%0.0
3-3Northern Colorado (304.0)BSkyH81-63W100%0.0
3-5North Dakota (218.0)BSkyH89-82W100%0.0
3-8Sacramento St. (273.0)BSkyN75-79L0%0.0