Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Montana St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Montana St.

Conference:BSky
Expected RPI:200.5
Current RPI:200
Expected SOS:234
Current Record:13-14
Expected Record:13-14
Current Conf Record:10-7
Expected Conf Record:10-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-5
Current OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC Record:3-7
Expected OOC RPI:233
Expected OOC SOS:204


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
13-1448.15%200.5100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Montana St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Nevada (72.9)WACA61-75L0%0.0
11-21Southern Mississippi (112.8)CUSAH62-66L0%0.0
11-25San Francisco (206.8)WCCA70-66W100%0.0
11-28Oregon (138.5)P10A66-89L0%0.0
12-4Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyH87-63W100%0.0
12-5Northern Arizona (198.2)BSkyH62-50W100%0.0
12-9Memphis (56.3)CUSAA51-76L0%0.0
12-18UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWH76-64W100%0.0
12-21Cal Poly (255.8)BWA76-72W100%0.0
12-23Boise St. (202.8)WACA56-58L0%0.0
12-31Weber St. (84.7)BSkyA62-75L0%0.0
1-3Idaho St. (303.8)BSkyA70-63W100%0.0
1-8Portland St. (221.5)BSkyH77-71W100%0.0
1-10Eastern Washington (277.8)BSkyH73-75L0%0.0
1-17Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyA58-53W100%0.0
1-18Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)indA61-71L0%0.0
1-23Montana (97.3)BSkyH61-52W100%0.0
1-28Northern Arizona (198.2)BSkyA58-71L0%0.0
1-31Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyA68-74L0%0.0
2-5Idaho St. (303.8)BSkyH63-60W100%0.0
2-6Weber St. (84.7)BSkyH71-75L0%0.0
2-12Eastern Washington (277.8)BSkyA69-74L0%0.0
2-13Portland St. (221.5)BSkyA79-71W100%0.0
2-18Sacramento St. (297.0)BSkyH80-74W100%0.0
2-20San Jose St. (177.2)WACH66-77L0%0.0
2-27Montana (97.3)BSkyA73-67W100%0.0
3-6Portland St. (221.5)BSkyH65-68L0%0.0