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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Missouri St.

Conference:MVC
Expected RPI:123.0
Current RPI:123
Expected SOS:77
Current Record:15-16
Expected Record:15-16
Current Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Record:9-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-0
Current OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC RPI:112
Expected OOC SOS:68


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
15-1648.39%123.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Missouri St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Nevada (65.0)WACA46-68W100%0.0
11-15Arkansas St. (222.0)SBA46-77W100%0.0
11-26Tulsa (120.0)CUSAH69-64W100%0.0
11-30Oral Roberts (51.0)SumA68-63L0%0.0
12-3New Mexico (27.0)MWCA76-60L0%0.0
12-7Oklahoma St. (124.0)B12H67-72L0%0.0
12-10Arkansas Little Rock (176.0)SBA60-68W100%0.0
12-17Kennesaw St. (331.0)ASunH78-55W100%0.0
12-19Texas A&M Corpus Chris (319.0)SlndH66-53W100%0.0
12-22West Virginia (57.0)BEN70-68L0%0.0
12-23St. Mary's (28.0)WCCN61-77L0%0.0
12-28Creighton (24.0)MVCA65-77W100%0.0
12-31Drake (133.0)MVCH72-61W100%0.0
1-4Illinois St. (100.0)MVCH60-68L0%0.0
1-7Indiana St. (129.0)MVCA63-69W100%0.0
1-10Southern Illinois (255.0)MVCH77-65W100%0.0
1-13Northern Iowa (73.0)MVCA61-60L0%0.0
1-15Evansville (131.0)MVCH82-87L0%0.0
1-18Creighton (24.0)MVCH65-66L0%0.0
1-21Bradley (265.0)MVCA48-51W100%0.0
1-25Illinois St. (100.0)MVCA76-69L0%0.0
1-28Northern Iowa (73.0)MVCH63-51W100%0.0
2-1Wichita St. (12.0)MVCH67-74L0%0.0
2-4Drake (133.0)MVCA39-57W100%0.0
2-8Southern Illinois (255.0)MVCA54-56W100%0.0
2-12Bradley (265.0)MVCH64-53W100%0.0
2-15Wichita St. (12.0)MVCA73-58L0%0.0
2-18Old Dominion (103.0)CAAH67-73L0%0.0
2-22Indiana St. (129.0)MVCH46-59L0%0.0
2-25Evansville (131.0)MVCA75-70L0%0.0
3-2Evansville (131.0)MVCN72-64L0%0.0