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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Missouri St.

Expected RPI:235.0
Current RPI:235
Expected SOS:176
Current Record:12-19
Expected Record:12-19
Current Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Record:9-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-3
Current OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC Record:3-8
Expected OOC RPI:304
Expected OOC SOS:261


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Missouri St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Oral Roberts (148.0)SumA80-65L0%0.0
11-19Butler (57.0)BEN59-93L0%0.0
11-20Minnesota (257.0)B10N69-74L0%0.0
11-22Mississippi St. (154.0)SECN84-70L0%0.0
12-1Utah St. (151.0)MWCH68-69L0%0.0
12-5Oklahoma St. (170.0)B12A63-64W100%0.0
12-10IUPUI (189.0)SumH88-74W100%0.0
12-13Tulsa (58.0)AmerH61-70L0%0.0
12-16Oral Roberts (148.0)SumH85-66W100%0.0
12-19Valparaiso (49.0)HorzA74-45L0%0.0
12-22Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCH74-78L0%0.0
12-30Illinois St. (114.0)MVCA74-61L0%0.0
1-2Evansville (93.0)MVCH59-76L0%0.0
1-6Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCH59-58W100%0.0
1-9Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCA54-56W100%0.0
1-13Wichita St. (47.0)MVCH62-78L0%0.0
1-16Bradley (306.0)MVCA42-61W100%0.0
1-20Drake (325.0)MVCA70-79W100%0.0
1-24Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCH65-80L0%0.0
1-27Indiana St. (172.0)MVCA68-59L0%0.0
1-30Illinois St. (114.0)MVCH84-81W100%0.0
2-2Bradley (306.0)MVCH77-71W100%0.0
2-6Evansville (93.0)MVCA83-64L0%0.0
2-10Northern Iowa (70.0)MVCA83-69L0%0.0
2-13Indiana St. (172.0)MVCH89-85W100%0.0
2-18Wichita St. (47.0)MVCA99-68L0%0.0
2-21Loyola Chicago (239.0)MVCH62-75L0%0.0
2-24Drake (325.0)MVCH61-52W100%0.0
2-27Southern Illinois (138.0)MVCA78-68L0%0.0
3-3Drake (325.0)MVCN69-67W100%0.0
3-4Evansville (93.0)MVCN66-56L0%0.0