Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Mississippi Valley St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

Mississippi Valley St.

Conference:SWAC
Expected RPI:324.1
Current RPI:324
Expected SOS:325
Current Record:8-22
Expected Record:8-23
Current Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Record:8-11
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:1.30%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-10
Current OOC Record:0-12
Expected OOC Record:0-12
Expected OOC RPI:336
Expected OOC SOS:206


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
11-2233.33%300.11.30%
10-2330.30%311.73.46%
9-2328.12%319.68.66%
8-2325.81%325.486.58%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Mississippi Valley St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Washington St. (152.2)P10A66-94L0%0.0
11-14Gonzaga (37.1)WCCA74-92L0%0.0
11-22Iowa St. (118.1)B12A55-96L0%0.0
11-24St. Louis (82.4)A10A39-75L0%0.0
11-27Liberty (232.3)BSthN53-72L0%0.0
11-28Kennesaw St. (284.4)ASunN68-85L0%0.0
12-5Arkansas (148.5)SECA54-91L0%0.0
12-12Chattanooga (237.9)SCA60-82L0%0.0
12-16Oregon (146.0)P10A51-79L0%0.0
12-19Oregon St. (183.7)P10A62-76L0%0.0
12-22Arkansas St. (202.1)SBN64-71L0%0.0
12-28Mississippi St. (66.9)SECA45-73L0%0.0
1-4Arkansas Pine Bluff (191.1)SWACN68-69L0%0.0
1-9Alabama St. (275.7)SWACA76-73W100%0.0
1-11Alabama A&M (328.2)SWACA56-72L0%0.0
1-16Alcorn St. (346.0)SWACH80-70W100%0.0
1-18Southern (343.2)SWACH57-45W100%0.0
1-23Texas Southern (228.0)SWACA73-74L0%0.0
1-25Prairie View A&M (269.9)SWACA63-69L0%0.0
1-30Jackson St. (192.0)SWACH59-77L0%0.0
2-1Grambling (341.2)SWACH93-83W100%0.0
2-6Alabama St. (275.7)SWACH82-71W100%0.0
2-8Alabama A&M (328.2)SWACH69-77L0%0.0
2-13Alcorn St. (346.0)SWACA54-55L0%0.0
2-15Southern (343.2)SWACA54-48W100%0.0
2-20Texas Southern (228.0)SWACH62-44W100%0.0
2-22Prairie View A&M (269.9)SWACH68-69L0%0.0
2-27Jackson St. (192.0)SWACA51-63L0%0.0
3-1Grambling (341.2)SWACA65-61W100%0.0
3-4Arkansas Pine Bluff (191.1)SWACA68-84L0%0.0