Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Middle Tennessee   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Middle Tennessee

Conference:SB
Expected RPI:178.3
Current RPI:179
Expected SOS:228
Current Record:17-13
Expected Record:17-13
Current Conf Record:13-6
Expected Conf Record:13-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:13-4
Current OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC RPI:251
Expected OOC SOS:194


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
17-1356.67%178.3100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Middle Tennessee.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Ohio (99.9)MACA68-81L0%0.0
11-17Marshall (67.3)CUSAA60-63L0%0.0
11-19Lamar (292.7)SlndH74-66W100%0.0
11-23North Carolina A&T (299.1)MEACA56-65L0%0.0
12-2UAB (45.3)CUSAA64-65L0%0.0
12-8Belmont (136.8)ASunH71-83L0%0.0
12-11Tennessee (11.0)SECN54-75L0%0.0
12-13SIU Edwardsville (321.4)OVCH83-58W100%0.0
12-22Howard (329.6)MEACH69-51W100%0.0
12-31New Orleans (323.2)SBA63-58W100%0.0
1-2Louisiana Lafayette (245.4)SBH68-58W100%0.0
1-4Vanderbilt (19.5)SECA53-73L0%0.0
1-7Arkansas St. (200.9)SBA67-69L0%0.0
1-9Arkansas Little Rock (300.2)SBA66-52W100%0.0
1-14Florida International (296.0)SBH58-65L0%0.0
1-16Florida Atlantic (216.4)SBH60-61L0%0.0
1-18Western Kentucky (133.5)SBH47-46W100%0.0
1-21Louisiana Monroe (273.3)SBA69-60W100%0.0
1-23Western Kentucky (133.5)SBA84-74W100%0.0
1-28New Orleans (323.2)SBH66-46W100%0.0
1-30North Texas (103.0)SBH69-64W100%0.0
2-4Troy (109.6)SBH67-70L0%0.0
2-6South Alabama (209.4)SBA80-68W100%0.0
2-11Denver (164.4)SBH57-50W100%0.0
2-13Houston Baptist (326.8)GWCH109-79W100%0.0
2-18Troy (109.6)SBA62-66L0%0.0
2-20South Alabama (209.4)SBH81-54W100%0.0
2-25Florida International (296.0)SBA74-71W100%0.0
2-27Florida Atlantic (216.4)SBA66-57W100%0.0
3-7Denver (164.4)SBN58-73L0%0.0