live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Middle Tennessee

Conference:SB
Expected RPI:28.0
Current RPI:28
Expected SOS:129
Current Record:28-5
Expected Record:28-5
Current Conf Record:20-2
Expected Conf Record:20-2
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:15-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-0
Current OOC Record:8-3
Expected OOC Record:8-3
Expected OOC RPI:15
Expected OOC SOS:9


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
28-584.85%28.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Middle Tennessee.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Alabama St. (328.0)SWACH97-53W100%0.0
11-13Savannah St. (166.0)MEACA55-58W100%0.0
11-18Florida (7.0)SECN66-45L0%0.0
11-20Central Florida (103.0)CUSAA61-75W100%0.0
11-24Texas Southern (184.0)SWACH79-52W100%0.0
11-29Louisiana Lafayette (221.0)SBA58-72W100%0.0
12-2Akron (43.0)MACA82-77L0%0.0
12-5UAB (144.0)CUSAH84-64W100%0.0
12-8Mississippi (47.0)SECH65-62W100%0.0
12-13Belmont (21.0)OVCA64-49L0%0.0
12-18Tennessee St. (105.0)OVCH77-48W100%0.0
12-21Vanderbilt (120.0)SECN56-52W100%0.0
12-29Florida International (111.0)SBH69-52W100%0.0
12-31North Texas (247.0)SBH75-57W100%0.0
1-3Arkansas St. (163.0)SBA66-60L0%0.0
1-5South Alabama (154.0)SBA56-60W100%0.0
1-10Florida Atlantic (218.0)SBH62-52W100%0.0
1-12Louisiana Monroe (305.0)SBA57-66W100%0.0
1-17Arkansas Little Rock (176.0)SBH82-50W100%0.0
1-19Louisiana Lafayette (221.0)SBH82-60W100%0.0
1-24North Texas (247.0)SBA64-72W100%0.0
1-26Western Kentucky (150.0)SBH72-53W100%0.0
1-31Florida International (111.0)SBA64-66W100%0.0
2-2Florida Atlantic (218.0)SBA56-73W100%0.0
2-7Arkansas St. (163.0)SBH73-60W100%0.0
2-9Troy (279.0)SBH93-41W100%0.0
2-16Arkansas Little Rock (176.0)SBA61-66W100%0.0
2-21South Alabama (154.0)SBH85-50W100%0.0
2-23Louisiana Monroe (305.0)SBH87-46W100%0.0
2-28Troy (279.0)SBA56-66W100%0.0
3-2Western Kentucky (150.0)SBA62-70W100%0.0
3-9Louisiana Lafayette (221.0)SBN81-66W100%0.0
3-10Florida International (111.0)SBN57-61L0%0.0