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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Michigan St.

Conference:B10
Expected RPI:4.0
Current RPI:4
Expected SOS:1
Current Record:26-7
Expected Record:26-7
Current Conf Record:16-5
Expected Conf Record:16-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:9-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-0
Current OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC RPI:11
Expected OOC SOS:15


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
26-778.79%4.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Michigan St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11North Carolina (3.0)ACCN67-55L0%0.0
11-15Duke (5.0)ACCN74-69L0%0.0
11-18Texas Southern (234.0)SWACH76-41W100%0.0
11-20Arkansas Little Rock (176.0)SBH69-47W100%0.0
11-23Wisconsin Milwaukee (125.0)HorzH68-55W100%0.0
11-27Eastern Michigan (243.0)MACA40-72W100%0.0
11-30Florida St. (11.0)ACCH65-49W100%0.0
12-7Central Connecticut (227.0)NECH89-69W100%0.0
12-10Gonzaga (25.0)WCCA67-74W100%0.0
12-17Bowling Green (158.0)MACH74-60W100%0.0
12-19Missouri Kansas City (266.0)SumH89-54W100%0.0
12-22Lehigh (91.0)PatH90-81W100%0.0
12-28Indiana (17.0)B10H80-65W100%0.0
12-31Nebraska (154.0)B10A55-68W100%0.0
1-3Wisconsin (23.0)B10A60-63W100%0.0
1-10Iowa (130.0)B10H95-61W100%0.0
1-14Northwestern (63.0)B10A81-74L0%0.0
1-17Michigan (14.0)B10A60-59L0%0.0
1-21Purdue (48.0)B10H83-58W100%0.0
1-25Minnesota (89.0)B10H68-52W100%0.0
1-31Illinois (92.0)B10A42-41L0%0.0
2-5Michigan (14.0)B10H64-54W100%0.0
2-8Penn St. (161.0)B10H77-57W100%0.0
2-11Ohio St. (7.0)B10A48-58W100%0.0
2-16Wisconsin (23.0)B10H69-55W100%0.0
2-19Purdue (48.0)B10A62-76W100%0.0
2-22Minnesota (89.0)B10A61-66W100%0.0
2-25Nebraska (154.0)B10H62-34W100%0.0
2-28Indiana (17.0)B10A70-55L0%0.0
3-4Ohio St. (7.0)B10H70-72L0%0.0
3-9Iowa (130.0)B10N92-75W100%0.0
3-10Wisconsin (23.0)B10N65-52W100%0.0
3-11Ohio St. (7.0)B10N68-64W100%0.0